All the bookies have also suspended betting. I guess it would be bad taste. A pity as I use the betting markets for unbiased assessments of how the campaign is going.
show all the household names have suspended betting. They have one crowd called $markets who are betting 8/15 Biden, 21/10 Trump and 33/1 Pence.Predictit is still open. Essentially Biden odds haven't changed much, Trump down a bit but Pence up (effectively some shift to Pence stepping in). But it's still low odds (about 15 / 1 or so)
I'd say he'll have a perfect quarantine, people are saying that it will be the greatest quarantine ever.Interesting period of quarantine ahead so.
If Trump falls ill, how will it affect his support.
What if he remains asymptomatic? If he does, are debates by video conference viable? I couldn't see why not?
What if he remains asymptomatic? If he does, are debates by video conference viable? I couldn't see why not?
Nothing unusual about this. They always suspend betting when there’s an event, such as a horse being declared as a non-runner, or a decision on a penalty being made.All the bookies have also suspended betting.
Nothing unusual about this. They always suspend betting when there’s an event, such as a horse being declared as a non-runner, or a decision on a penalty being made.
This is different. I see Betfair have suspended again. There always was the outside chance of serious illness or even mortality, hence the likes of Pence and Clinton stayed in the market. But I guess now that it becomes a real, if still unlikely eventuality, I am supposing there is a fear of some moral outcry at betting on it, which I guess is understandable.Nothing unusual about this. They always suspend betting when there’s an event, such as a horse being declared as a non-runner, or a decision on a penalty being made.
I am supposing there is a fear of some moral outcry at betting on it, which I guess is understandable.
You got a message from Betfair? They have misled you or you have misinterpreted them.The message I got from Betfair was that the suspension was to protect those with unmatched bets. Once any 'material developments' occur that could distort the market they suspend the market and cancel all unmatched bets. Once those material developments have subsided, the market opens again.
Fair enuff. I think Betfair are being disingenuous in suggesting that the protracted (second) suspension is for technical reasons. It is because of the reputational risk in betting on the health/mortality of the president.I would post a screenshot if I was able.
The full text of message from Betfair at 6:33pm 2nd October
"Dear _____
The Betfair Exchange suspended betting on the US election for a brief period on Friday (October 2) in order to protect customers with unmatched bets in the market.
Those unmatched bets have now been cancelled and the market reopened at 16:30.
We will continue to monitor any material developments and make appropriate decisions on any further market suspension if deemed necessary.
Regards
Betfair "
I agree, there is a large element of reputation to consider, insofar the perception of taking/hosting bets on the outcome of a race where one of the candidates has a potentially life-threatening illness is concerned.
Market remains suspended.
Trump is out of hospital and recovering well from the China Virus. It went away on its own, like a miracle. The whole thing is fake news, that's what lots of people are saying. The doctors said it was a beautiful recovery, the best they'd ever seen.
No, he might actually be immune, or so he says. Nobody knows, nobody knows.Think I'll give it a week to 10 days before I buy into the recovery story
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?