Most No voters will do so on the basis of viewing marriage as gendered and/or view that the proposed change - which is to Article 41 'The Family' - allied with the Children and Family Relationships bill will tie the hands of state agencies such that, all else being equal, no preference over other arrangements can be given to placing a child for fostering or adoption in a gender balanced (mother & father) situation. Such voters have no need for forgiveness from anyone.
While the Children and Family Relationships bill will come into force regardless of the outcome of the referendum, a Yes will copper-fasten the bill's vision of engineered situations where a new born child can be deliberately denied either a mother or father. A No leaves such parts of the bill open for repeal, perhaps even creating an imperative for such.Indeed. No one is expecting the sky to fall or, as has been mentioned, the earth to stop spinning on it axis, if/when this is carried. I don't expect many to think they have make a mistake, perhaps just that a mistake has been made. The weakness in the Yes campaign is inability to see a contrary position as genuinely held; Yes should prevail despite this. Perhaps there will be a sea change in opinion following a Yes; I doubt it but I suppose time will tell.
I think there needs to be a greater discussion on this if only to try to put aside fears. However, there will be no impact on the Bill. It will pass and be enacted as is regardless of a yes or no vote.
The bill will also have no impact on adoption. Anyone can adopt or foster as it is irregardless of sexuality. The key thing the bill will introduce is that after a period of time single people and civil marriages can be recognized as the legal patent or guardian. What the bill will do though is put the child at the centre of this and they will have a say.
The problem with the all things being equal argument is that it is an ideal world situation that doesn't and the adoption and fostering system just doesnt work like that.
There are not enough competent and caring people adopting or fostering, the will be no sophie choice situation closing between a heterosexual couple or same sex. What-if-ery about significantly improbable situations are not in my opinion justification to deny equality. secular child charities and services are in support of the bill and vote and are quite adamant that this will not lead to their have being tied.
The fact is that currently they may have to make the same choice between two equal heterosexual couples. One will have to be denied the child. We trust the state and the agencies to make a decision in that case that is in the best interest of the child, why would they not do the same in an equal choice between a heterosexual and same sex couple?
But...and it's kind of a big but...those decisions could arise today or yesterday because same sex couples can and do adopt. The problem for the argument is that those situations don't arise, couples register and are vetted and eventually approved to adopt. They don't go into a baby Dunnes and fight over the prettiest baby on the shelf.
The only agencies opposed to the bill are those aligned to a religious order as they can discriminate and wish to continue to do so even if it isn't in the best interest of the child and only because of sexuality.
The impact of this referendum in the bill is zero. The impact of the bill on the adoption process is zero for state agencies, but big for religious agencies who are opposed to same sex relationships.