I am happy for you to stick to your certainties, I'll stay with my doubts. Have a great dayYou are misunderstanding your own weak references so. You suggest Bitcoin is 'a complex adaptive system'. I'm not arguing that point, but you go on to claim that means 'as such there is no way of predicting its future behaviour.' It is here you are mistaken. Bitcoin in its entirely is governed by strict rules, that makes if very easy to model how that system will function.
Such modelling and testing of complex IT systems is commonplace, tools like LoadRunner, NeoLoad, jMeter, etc. are used in large development houses every day to test various load scenarios for the software they produce. Various scenarions for user behaviour patters are all configured via scripts and input parameters.
Your Wiki reference states complex adaptive system 'is a system in which a perfect understanding of the individual parts does not automatically convey a perfect understanding of the whole system's behavior.' I don't see how that is relevant? The entire Bitcoin system is very well understood, go to GitHub and look at the source code for yourself.
You also suggested that science says human interaction with systems like Bitcoin is unpredictable. You haven't backed that claim up with anything.
Hint, take a look at the calculator I linked to previously. That'll give you a good indication.