November 3, 2020: Consolidated General Election.

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RTE pitching this as Mayo (Ballina Biden connections) versus Clare (Trump and Doombeg).
 
WolfeTone said:
Biden 49.3%
Trump 48.7 %

8,000 vote differential with 86% (1,168,857) votes. 190, 279 still not counted.
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True, but the Trump vote has mainly come from the smaller counties. The counties yet to complete counting where Trump leads amounts to approx 140K votes (all are around 75-80% complete at this stage). The two counties where Biden has a lead amount to approx 1million votes (again these are around 75% complete at this stage). Biden leads both counties by a much bigger margin (51% to 47% in Washoe and 53% to 45% in Clark).
 
True, but Im guesstimating that there is roughly a 14,000 vote gain for Biden between Washoe and Clark. Puts him about 6,000 votes ahead.

But Washoe, Clark, Lyon, Nye, Humboldt and Elko while smaller in count, the Trump bias is 60%+/30%-

Take Douglas, there is a possible 1,500 gain for Trump there. 600 votes in Lyon, 1,000 vote in Nye, Elko 1,900 gain for Trump......

Meaning its absolutely going to the wire. A differential of less than 5,000 votes, maybe even less than 2,000 will win it.
 
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WolfeTone said:
True, but Im guesstimating that there is roughly a 14,000 vote gain for Biden between Washoe and Clark. Puts him about 6,000 votes ahead.
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Wait a second.....I read Nevada as Trump being currently ahead by 8,000 instead of Biden.......its the other way round. Doh!!
 
200,000 votes still to be counted in Georgia with Trump ahead by 100,000. The gap will certainly narrow but will it close?
 
Ceist Beag said:
Yep, Michigan is my new favourite state and Wayne is a great name!
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I was in Wisconsin in March, the week before the lockdown, and it really is a rust belt State. I was in South Carolina the week before and the contrast was stark. Most of South Carolina was booming although where there was poverty it was incredible; it was like something from The Grapes of Wrath. It is amazing that they vote for Trump.
 
The key battleground state of Wisconsin has been called for Joe Biden in America’s knife-edge election, as President Donald Trump’s team pushed for a recount. Media outlet AP declared Wisconsin had narrowly gone for Mr Biden by some 20,000 votes. Mr Biden currently holds 237 votes to Donald Trump's 213. The President won the state of Wisconsin in 2016, defeating Hillary Clinton by 0.7%.

US Elections: Biden flips Michigan while Trump threatens legal action

Donald Trump’s campaign has said it is suing to temporarily stop the vote count in Pennsylvania.
www.irishexaminer.com
 
Nevada and Arizona will go to Biden.That’s 270.
If he gets Pennsylvania, and that’s looking likely that’s 290.
Georgia looking good for Biden too.
 
Part of me wondering if Biden would he be better off to lose Pennsylvania in that it undermines Trumps allegations of fraud.??
 
Peanuts20 said:
Part of me wondering if Biden would he be better off to lose Pennsylvania in that it undermines Trumps allegations of fraud.??
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I don't think so. If things go as projected elsewhere then he's get 290 EC votes if he wins Pennsylvania which would make it a more decisive victory.
 
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