I have serious doubts. Time will tell.
In the past 50 years mankind has invented the internet, launched the first satellite, created the PC, invented the mobile phone, created a supersonic passenger plane, landed men on the moon, commercialised wind energy, gotten to the 4th generation of nuclear power, created a plane capable of carrying 850 people, went through four storage mediums (records, cassetes, CD's, and DVD's), seen the first space stations built, widespread commercialisation of LCD/Plasma, uprecedented growth in communications technologies... among other things.
So given another 50 years why can't mankind engineer it's way out of this problem? 10 years ago there was no such thing as Google, blogs, or mass wireless broadband. 5 years ago there was no such thing as the Millau Viaduct, the Iwate-Ichinohe Tunnel (longest rail tunnel), the Lærdalstunnelen (longest road tunnel), Taipei 101 (tallest building), Bugatti Veyron 16.4 (fastest accelerating car ever), Shanghai Maglev Train (first commercial high speed maglev)... among other things.
50 years ago if i'd told you, that one would be able to instantly communicate with someone in Russia, Australia or South Africa in a dozen different ways for virtually nothing, would you not have had serious doubts too? Or 150 years ago if it was suggested that within two decades or so man would be able to fly and within another few decades he would set foot on the moon? I know there are incrediable technological barriers to be overcome, but I believe time will indeed tell... just don't count on being alive to see it!
Possibly not. That was the beginning of the era of the space race.... back then it was assumed we'd have bases on the Moon and probably Mars, orbiting space stations, etc. A few years later I'd have been watching 2001: A Space Odyssey expecting a not too dissimilar world in the year of its eponymous title. It envisaged sentient computers, we didn't them (yet?)... but we did get the internet though.50 years ago if i'd told you, that one would be able to instantly communicate with someone in Russia, Australia or South Africa in a dozen different ways for virtually nothing, would you not have had serious doubts too?
Every generation/era has hopes and aspirations for the future. Every generation/era imagines what the future could be like. As we can see from history the future doesn't always turn out as expected or hoped. Some things unimagined come to be, others imagined never happen and some of what we expect does indeed come to pass.Or 150 years ago if it was suggested that within two decades or so man would be able to fly and within another few decades he would set foot on the moon? I know there are incrediable technological barriers to be overcome, but I believe time will indeed tell... just don't count on being alive to see it!
That presumes that any of them are detrimental to the environment, something that many are still not convinced ofGetting back on topic, Michael O'Leary says Ryanair's fleet is the most efficient in the skies and therefore less detrimental to the environment compared to others. As true as this may be it does not discount the fact that the growth in commercial aviation more than offsets and adds to the cumulative environmental damage rendering his arguments moot in my book.
That presumes that any of them are detrimental to the environment, something that many are still not convinced of
Good points pat127, very few of the truely groundbreaking technological leapforwards in our history have occured recently - most of our new inventions are indeed the result of endless incredmental improvements. However, when Quantum Computing, Nuclear Fussion, efficent fuel cells, and other such things start to appear in the century to come - whilst they will be utterly revolutionary, they will still be the end result of a long period of improvements and minor innovations - it's unlikely there will be a single 'eureka' moment.
I don't think people actually understand the power of individual action. If for example I install a PIR so that the outside lights only come on occasionally, the difference is trifling. If 1M do it however then real savings follow. Same effect if a sufficient number of people use their cars a little less, or drive them more economically, and so on. The problem I see however that it's often not enough to leave people to their own devices. We need central support through either incentivisation or penalisation.
We should care because it is in our own interest and that of future generations. It was shocking to see, as shown on that Eco-Eye RTE programme the other night, the rate at which the polar ice cap is melting and the reduction in the ozone layer which protects us from ultra violet light. We've already seen the consequences of the Tsunami in Asia and the New Orleans catastrophe. Global temperatures are rising and we can only guess at the effects on eco-systems and farming not to mention health. Either way they won't be good.Originally Posted by ivuernis
Why should you or I or anyone who may care change our behaviors when the vast majority (of the developed world at least) are unwilling to change theirs. Individual action in and of itself is next to useless in this scenario. Collective action on the other hand is where change can happen.
The day may not be too far away when cars will be banned. Would it not be better to get rid of gas guzzling cars (or severely penalise those who insist on using them) and perhaps ration home energy usage? If the carrot doesn't work, that leaves only the stick! Responses to this global threat so far are reminiscent of Nero fiddling while Rome burned. We ignore the very real warnings at our peril. While world leaders must show the lead on this issue of survival, nations can also lead by example.However, the vast majority of people WANT big cars, second homes, cheap & frequent flights if they are allowed to have them. It is only by removing or curtailing access to these behaviors that change can happen. This change can only be effected globally by governments otherwise even in a resource constrained or degraded environment states and individuals will continue to compete with each other in a race to the bottom.
These are good points and are in the main are suggestions that i think we should be racing to implement. Regardless of my own views on whether or not man causes global warming (I don't know either way), it surely makes sense to waste less enegy, provide more and better public transport and most importantly for this country, we have to find alternatives to fossil fuels. This is an area in which we can become world leaders if we start now - we need a government that does more than pay lip service to alternative energies, we need real incentives to invest in R&D in alternatives.To sum up my point, to combat climate change/pollution we should tackle the things that are most practical to change first... (these apply globally)
1) Reduce car usage with more local public transport (or as O'Leary says "Sell your car and walk.")
2) Replace energy generation with greener means - wind, wave, solar, gas, etc.
3) Toughen laws regarding building insulation
4) Toughen laws regarding heavy industry efficency (steel, cement, cars...)
5) Discourage urban sprawl with better planning laws and put in place metro/tram systems with the vision of keeping things centralised
6) Tax incentivise greener cars like Hybrids
7) Invest in electrifing rail networks
8) Invest in rail networks to increase there reach and integration
9) Invest in high speed mag lev rail to offer a real alternative to air travel within ranges of several thousend miles
10) Incentivise distribution via rail rather than trucks where possible
11) Slaughter O'Learys herd of cattle (his own suggestion!... "Shoot cows instead of blaming aviation'")
We've already seen the consequences of the Tsunami in Asia
It's the same feeling I get as I'm washing bottles and dividing waste for recycling. If recycling is only done by the minority, it won't be enough. (
But will my doing this have any affect at all if no-one else on the road is making similar efforts. It's the same feeling I get as I'm washing bottles and dividing waste for recycling. If recycling is only done by the minority, it won't be enough. How do you change the attitudes???
Living in a beautiful town, I noticed that there are people who can't even bring themselves to use the bins here...so what hope have we got unless there is some regulation or incentive to get people to want to cut down on energy. I'm not very hopeful for the future of Green Ireland.
Very opportune post - heard recently that in the future temperatures in places like the south of Spain may be far too high for holidays. In light of casiopea's observations maybe it's worth repeating mine:Originally Posted by Casiopea - Global warming - Ski property
Every year there are adverse changes in our environment. It is not all of a sudden going to start in 200 years. In the 5 years I have lived in switzerland there has been a big difference in the amount of business resorts in switzerland and austria do in December compared to what they did 5 years ago. 5 years ago the OP would have had gauranteed rental income here in December, now the OP wouldnt. In recent years CH has resorted to wrapping some glaciers in gigantic foil (similiar to what you'd put on a turkey!) to protect them as there is such a difference now from year to year in how much the glaciers retreat.
except for one....repressing industrial offenders. We're already causing these (in many cases) global corporations to shift production to countries whith no regulations, with the possible effect of actually making things worse.
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