Paul O Mahoney
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Prostate deaths are in the 50 to 80 bracket Purple, its becoming more prevalent now in men in their 40s too.We target resources at younger people in preference to older people all the time. Men are as likely to die of Prostate Cancer as women are to die of Breast Cancer but we spend vastly more on Breast cancer screening. That's nothing to do with gender (despite what some men think). It is to do with the fact that the men who die of Prostate Cancer usually do so in their 80's and 90's whereas women start dying of breast cancer in their 30'd and 40's. If you need a transplant age is one of the selecting factors. In a world of finite resources things have to be prioritised. I'm not suggesting that we callously cast aside old people who are sick but lets not pretend that the life of a chronically ill 85 year old is the same as a healthy 10 year old.
Sure, and some women die of breast cancer much younger too.Prostate deaths are in the 50 to 80 bracket Purple, its becoming more prevalent now in men in their 40s too.
But I take your point
If my number is incorrect show the correct calculation. Of course I was generous in including people with pre existing conditions in my calculation. I suspect that to calculate the probability of a healthy person in Ireland dying of Covid would require use of the exponential function on the calculator, because of the amount of zeros !
The vulnerable can't be protected if everyone 'gets on with it', if by that you mean, ignoring and lifting all restrictions.
It's fantasy stuff, it is not a slogan of practicable policy.
If you can point me to a study that shows people without symptoms are not infectious, please cite.
People without symptoms can transmit covid, the split between pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic is unclear.
Pre-symptomatic & asymptomatic people shed viral load.
Factsheet on COVID-19
Factsheet on the COVID-19 pathogen, surveillance, clinical features, epidemiology, transmission, case management, and public health control measures.www.ecdc.europa.eu
There is no evidence that PCR testing in Ireland is creating some sort of false 'casedemic'.
The level of variability in in our daily positive rate demonstrates this.
The Cambridge student situation is explained here and no it doesn't mean what you suggest it does:
Cambridge Covid-19 test results don’t mean PCR tests are inaccurate - Full Fact
It appears you calculated the risk of dying from COVID-19 based on the number of deaths to that point over the entire population. That's not how you calculate risk! Use that method back in March and you'd get 0.0000002039.
After hearing today's figures I have a feeling that after Christmas day and subsequent weekend we might be revisting level 5 for the remainder of 2020 and probably all of January 2021.
I'm again not wishing for this but looking at Europe now it just feels inevitable.
The joy of having vaccines has really disappeared quickly.
Of course the vulnerable can be protected. I see it every day of the week with very elderly neighbours and relatives. It's not rocket science and it can be done with respect and dignity. I visit a 90 year old neighbour a few days a week and we have no problem keeping our distance and doing the basics right. My parents in law are in their eighties and have managed fine since March, again by doing the basics right.
I've already read that ECDC article. I think you should reread it if you believe that it proves asymptomatic transmission. There are no documented cases of asymptomatic transmission and that's from WHO.
Of course it doesn't detract from the main point which is that Covid, in the main , kills old, frail people with comorbidities.
Figures on how many people are afflicted by so-called Long Covid are still emerging, but the number was estimated in a recent study at about one in 10 survivors aged under 50, and effects range from organ damage to neurological damage, profound exhaustion and shortness of breath.
Depends on your point of view, personally I think a persons life is far more important than profits.Sweet music to Bezo's ears as we continue to destroy small businesses. I personally know of 6 that will never reopen. Sad times.
I've been saying this for weeks and on this thread. The only surprise for me is that we are still on Level 3. 484 Covid infections in the past 24 hours and an R rate of between 1.20 and 1.30. The situation is not improving.The National Public Health Emergency Team has recommended to Government that the period of relaxed Covid-19 restrictions be shortened to the end of the year as virus cases rise, the Taoiseach has said.
Speaking on RTÉ's Six One, Micheál Martin said: "The anticipated period of going from tomorrow to the 6th of January would be shortened."
He said the measures being recommended would involve the hospitality sector as well as visits between households being reduced from three to one.
Govt considering new restrictions from 28 December
Government ministers are likely to look at bringing forward the tightening of Covid-19 restrictions to 28, 29 or 30 December.www.rte.ie
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