Interesting piece from Bertie Ahern in
todays Irish Times putting the current Shinner drive for a boarder poll into a historical context.
It is interesting, but I cannot understand his conclusion given his view of the deceitful nature of Llyod George and the British Administration.
"
It was an imposed sectarian headcount that partitioned Ireland and, going forward, the last thing this island needs is another sectarian headcount. Right now it is not helpful to have premature demands for a border poll."
Except it won't be a sectarian headcount, as all of the people, North and South will vote. It will simply be, a headcount.
100yrs after a border that he describes as being '
vehemently opposed', engineered out of deception and political bad faith, he then jumps on the "
now is not the time" brigade.
"The preparatory work needs to be undertaken and completed, setting out clearly the options and how it would work in the future."
I agree with this. It should be pointed out that unlike Brexit, for example, there is no two-year negotiation deadline for a UI should a border poll pass. Instead what should be made clear is, that if both jurisidictions vote in favour of a UI then
in principle a UI should be brought into being. But there is nothing that says that that should not happen for another decade or two, or longer. Simply, the principle will have been set, the people will have voted for it, and it will be incumbent on both administrations north and south to set out the preparatory work to be undertaken to make it happen.
If, it were not to pass, either north or south or both, then it will be incumbent on those who wish for a UI to convince people to change their minds through exclusively peaceful and democratic means. But there would be no onus on the rejecting administration(s) to lay any preparatory work.
Critically however, as per the requirements of GFA which the people overwhelmingly endorsed, the precedent of self-determination will have been set.
"
In my view the time for a border poll is not opportune until we reach a situation where nationalists and republicans and also a sizeable amount of unionists and loyalists are in favour of such a poll on the basis of consent."
This is just sustaining and perpetuating the unionist veto. This type of thinking needs to be smashed. 70% of people in NI voted for GFA. They are in favour of the people of Ireland alone determining their own future.