Let me ask you this, as someone who works in the building industry what did you do to warn your clients of the impending melt down???
Jim
Had a quite animated discussion with one major client around the time Cowan was toying with raising capital gains tax from 20-40%. It never happened as you may recall.
I strongly suggested to my client that it needed to happen to take the heat out of the system, and that the government needed to seriously look at the whole tax incentives thing or the economy would overheat.
At that stage there was no hint of a world economic crisis and the discussion on his part centred on the collapse of the building boom, but I wanted it a gradually level off - the fabled "soft landing" - and knew that if we didn't face into it voluntarily we would be forced into it sooner or later.
"Quite animated" doesn't begin to describe my client's reaction at the time. Totally against any measures that might impede the year-on-year growth. Had a court judgement for millions against him earlier this year.
Another client bought a site in 2006 for silly money and came to me afterward seeking permission - having not asked my advice before buying. I asked him whether he could sell it again immediately. Not interested in doing that. Owes millions now.
I also tried to warn people about buying second properties. We had looked at a purchase around that time or shortly afterwards and all we could see were bubbles already growing quickly. One year a house a few miles outside Gorey in Wexford was €178K, less than six months later it was €240K. Against a LOT of pressure from someone very influential to me I was pressured into buying. I didn't. Much chagrin followed for several years. That estate is now a forest of "For Sale" and "To Let" signs.
Finally another client came to me with a problem site and asked me to get a permission on it, which I did. Afterward he instructed me to take it to site and between one thing and another, I strongly suggested he sell it instead, even though it would have looked very well in my portfolio of built work. He got out with his shirt and a small profit.
You have to understand that developers are often caught up in their own personhood. They get the bit between their teeth and think they are invincible decision makers.
You're limited to whom you can reach Jim. I did what I could for those I could influence and acted in a fiduciary manner toward them at all times even when they really preferred I just told them the comforting but wrong advice they wanted to hear. Those that listened, benefited from my advice.