time to plan
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Very difficult to prove I agree. You would need to prove correlation and then causation (maybe people who choose to get financial advice would fare better in any case - a reverse correlation). A well designed longitudinal study would be a tough gig.How does one prove it though when people debunk anything that’s out there?
I have more than a hunch…it’s obvious that it does.
Find me proof that using a proper builder to renovate your house leads to better outcomes than doing it yourself…
To be absolutely precise Vanguard say that their course on behavioural coaching adds 150bp. Sure Guinness used to say their product was good for you.Behavioural coaching is listed at 150 basis points
All very interesting Marc, but Russell Investments is hardly an independent peer reviewed learned journal. So it’s all a bit 82% of women who used Pantene said their hair was shinier and stronger.Reproduced without comment
Financial advisers coaching clients through the pandemic with a disciplined approach to investing have added approximately 5.2 per cent in value to client portfolios according to a new report from Russell Investments.
The 2021 Russell Investments Value of an Adviser Report says advisers helped Australians avoid a “litany of poor investment calls” since the start of the pandemic in 2020, including pulling out their investments at the volatility trough in March last year.
“Throughout the COVID-induced market dislocation and recovery, the most critical mistake non-advised investors made was to not hold the line on their investment strategies and sell out of equities after dramatic market falls – and then find it hard to time a re-entry as the market roared back to life,” Russell states.
While advisers largely prevented their clients from being among those that pulled an estimated $40.5 billion out of the superannuation system when valuations were at their lowest, Russell says the 5.2 per cent savings figure comes from a number of sources.
“The value of an adviser calculation is drawn from five key elements: preventing behavioural mistakes (2 per cent); advising on appropriate asset allocation (1.1 per cent); optimising cash holdings (0.6 per cent); tax-effective investing and planning (1.5 per cent); and the priceless value of expert wealth management knowledge derived from years of market experience,” Russell states.
Russell’s head of business solutions Bronwyn Yates said the events that unfolded during the heat of the pandemic have only underscored the important role advisers play.
“Investors that have been educated by a financial adviser understand there will be ups and downs along their financial journey, so they feel comfortable in staying the course,” Yates said.
“However, non-advised investors struggle to make the correct decision when markets are volatile, and often attempt to time the market. This is an issue which plagues both those with loss aversion, and those convinced they can beat the market. It’s also a timely consideration for the growing ranks of millennials and Gen Z turning to fin-fluencers as their source for financial advice.”
One of the problems is how do you design a longitudinal study, either in the model of a clinical trial (with a control group) or as an observational study. There are a lot of confounding factors to deal with. Here is a statement which I reckon is true:I suppose the problem here is that any evidence an adviser actually provides of real clients accounts showing the impact of advice given at the bottom of the market is never going to be a statistically significant sample.
Its patently obvious that something dramatically changed in this client's portfolio in the Spring of 2020 AND that it was to their benefit.
Of course, if the market had continued to fall an adviser wouldn't be able to use this as evidence of "good advice" so on balance it will always look to an extent like good luck.
That's the real challenge here. How do you accurately measure the impact of an adviser relative to a client working on their own. Obviously it depends on the client it depends on the adviser, it depends if the client actually implements the adviser's recommendations and it depends to an extent on who events in the future actually play out so that the client actually sees a real tangible benefit.
The best analogy I can make is that a client working without an adviser is like someone playing blackjack in a Casino who knows you are supposed to get to 21 in order to win. Whereas working with an adviser is like playing with someone who has the American Mensa Guide to Casino Gambling (I do in fact own a copy) and is having a stab at counting cards in a five deck shoe.
You just about reduce the house edge to a positive 0.5% advantage to yourself. It's not a huge difference but its better than playing the slots!!
That's the world we live in: when it comes to economics, people have emotions; it's not like chemistry or physics.
Robert J. Shiller
People often get better after visiting homeopaths, just as they do after visiting medical doctors. So the graph doesn't tell us which category financial professionals fit into.
Its patently obvious that something dramatically changed in this client's portfolio in the Spring of 2020 AND that it was to their benefit.
Duke, it's a lot more than that. It is not just looking at a policy on its own and advising on that all of their wealth.Behavioural advice?
I wonder how advisors sell this service. The honest approach is as follows:
"Folk make the mistake of panicking when markets have a severe setback. We will be available like The Samaritans to tell you not to panic. In fact we will set up a recorded message on a helpline in those circumstances"
Honest but is it always correct? Is it worth €5,000 (€2,000) p.a.?
The fraudulent approach goes as follows though in more veiled terms:
"Surveys show consistently that folk sell at the wrong time and are inclined to panic in the face of market setbacks. We will be able to advise you if any market setback is just temporary or if it is time for you to get out. Surveys show that by giving this advice we add 2% p.a. (€20,000) to clients' fund performance. Come on, doesn't €5k seem cheap for that service?".
StevenDuke, it's a lot more than that. It is not just looking at a policy on its own and advising on that all of their wealth.
I work with clients who are absolutely awful with money. Usually they are high earners as they never really had to save for anything. But they are not wealthy. Ironically, these people are the least likely to panic when there is a crash because they never look at their investments, it's not something they care about.
But nothing that would justify the types of retainer/trailer fees that OP is criticising.
That's because you wouldn't charge fees at that level for just giving advice on investment decisions, it would cover over services, which as you pointed out earlier, should be VATable but because it comes in the form of commission from a life company, it isn't.Steven
I know that many financial advisors provide a valuable service in terms of organising people's finances in the context of the tax and other regulations, on estate planning, on knowledge of the range of investment options etc.
But I remain very skeptical of this "behavioural advice" in the context of investment decisions. What I am hearing seems mainly to revolve around preventing people panicking when markets dive and of course recent experience is cited to underline the efficacy of this advice.
Maybe a few words at the initial consultation to warn that there may be choppy times ahead and if you feel worried your advisor is at the end of the phone. But nothing that would justify the types of retainer/trailer fees that OP is criticising.
Funnily enough Marc, I was reading a blog post of his yesterday.Michael Kitces is a respected financial planner in the USA and prolific researcher and author
Video | How to choose a financial adviser
A highly qualified financial expert can add significant value to your life. However, how do you choose the a suitable financial adviser whose interests are aligned with your own?hubs.ly
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