@kdoc: I'd be quite happy to place it here if it wasn't for the possibility of euro breakup - and the devaluation that would follow. Presumably, you feel this won't happen?
I honestly don't know! I opened up a UB a/c in Newry many months ago. At the time, they told me that they couldn't open a euro account (something that I now know is untrue as other AAM'ers have successfully done this). So I just left that account lie - as i'm not going to go opening up a sterling account.serotninsid, Nobody can be quite sure, but I think it's unlikely. In any event, where are you going to put your money?
The German central bank always retained a strong currency policy and it always looked at price inflation as its sole source for decisions on monetary policy. It will not suddenly turn into a monetary interventionist if the DM is reintroduced.If I could just add a further twist to this question...
Many people here have been advocating retaining deposits in euro in Germany. However, some are now suggesting that in the event of a euro break-up, the Germans would want to devalue so that they remain competitive (being that they are the worlds second largest exporter).
I fully agree, the events of the last week and especially the US downgrade by S&P will give the Fed exactly what it needs to introduce QE3 and 4. The ECB has already embarked on qualitative easing by allowing junk bonds to be deposited as collateral, and the latest spout of solution for Greece is going to be funded through quantitate easing as well.gold rose four fold before the media gave it a seconds notice , gold has only entered the public consciousness very recently , the recent stock market bull run was a sham , backed by nothing except QE by the goverment , america is entering rescession again , money will enter defensive assetts like gold + europe will have no choice but to print thier way out of debt so that will inevitabley lead to a weaker euro which is redicolously over valued anyway , all signs suggest gold will at least hold its own over the next year at least , a sell off of 100 euro an ounce here or there is nothing to worry about , if it was where it is now in a years time , id still be happy
I disagree, as soon as QE1 ended equity and commodity prices started to decline and QE2 was introduced. This ended in June, and suddenly equity and commodity prices are plunging again. The problems that caused the financial crisis, i.e. too much debt, are still there so there is no reason why equities should have been rising other than monetary inflation.All of this is highly speculative. It's also wrong to say that the stock market run was solely caused by QE or that it must follow that the ECB will engage in QE or that the Euro is neccessarily overvalued.
Gold is volatile, and volatility does not suit everyone, bu gold is not a speculative investment in the long run. The only way that the US and EU can solve the debt crisis is by defaulting of printing more money. Neither of which will have a negative impact on gold.Gold investment is highly speculative, and not for the faint-hearted. A resolution of the current crisis would leave a lot of damage to the Gold price in it's wake. In short, gold should not be a sole option for any saavy and conservative investor, or any investor in my opinion.
I remember reading an article about going back to old currencies overnight... So for that reason I stick with good old Deutsche Mark...