Also generally speaking I should put 100% into Indexed Ethical Global Equity, since AMC is 0.75% the lowest? Compare to the other two you are suggesting?
Hi Donrr123,
You have to make a choice that's best for you after researching the options or getting someone to give you financial advice.
Asset allocation is a fairly complex topic that a lot of people disagree on. You can never time / predict what the market will do but you can make informed choices about what you invest your money in to and hope for the best. I'm personally 70 % Indexed Ethical Global Equity / 20% Indexed Emerging Markets Equity / 10% Indexed Fixed Interest. I can explain why I've chosen this for myself.
I have about 25/30 years before I throw in the towel and I'm shooting to have a very large pension. With my timeline I've decided that a portfolio with 90% equities is best for me to maximise long term growth. I'm fine with volatility over the long term and if I lose 50% of the value of my portfolio overnight I'm not going to lose sleep over it because my time horizon gives me a long time to recover. I’m aware that it I switched out or changed my allocation at the bottom of the market this could have fairly catastrophic consequences for my portfolio.
I decided to go with the Indexed Ethical Global Equity fund (0.75% AMC) instead of the World Equity Indexed Fund (1% AMC) as the main "growth" portion of my portfolio because of the 0.25% discount I get on the AMC for the former. The developed world equities fund tracks the same index as the world equity index fund so both are interchangeable.
All the funds invest in US stocks and non-US developed world stocks (Europe, UK, Japan etc.) at their respective values in the market so you get nice diversification in them that rebalances over time. I'm not jazzed about how the ESG fund excludes certain stocks but these are roughly only
100 of the 1400 stocks within the full MSCI World index. The stocks from the excluded / reduced sectors would have to significantly outperform those from other sectors over the long term to make up for the 0.25% AMC difference. I
expect the ethical fund will deliver roughly the same returns as the other funds over the long term and I'll get the full benefit of the 0.25% AMC reduction as a discount on top of that.
Going with any of the above funds fully for the equity portion of my portfolio probably would have been fine but I've included a
fairly high allocation of 20% to emerging markets stocks to add some extra juice for the following reasons:
* Emerging markets stocks – over the very long term – deliver a
premium over developed world stocks because of the extra risk they entail. These risks (political instability, currency risk etc..) are already "priced in" to the value of the stocks when you buy them.
* I have a very long time before I expect to retire so can take the risk.
* I get an extra discount for investing in emerging markets – they have a 0.65% base AMC
* Emerging market stocks are a nice diversifier vs. developed world stocks.
* Emerging markets stocks have been pretty
stagnant for the last 15 years because everyone's been ramming money into US equities. They're currently very fairly priced as a result and long periods of poor performance tend to precede periods of higher performance and
vice versa.
* The Emerging market fund has a higher proportions of stocks in sectors that are excluded from the ethical index (Energy, Mining etc...), so tilting towards emerging compensates for this somewhat.
Emerging markets are not for the faint of heart and have historically had gut wrenching volatility. In 2008 they lost 53% of their value only to gain 78.51% in the following year. I'm fine with this but I think it would be suicidal to go for any more than 20% allocation because of how long periods of poor performance could drag down my portfolio's ability to compound.
I've decided to allocate a small 10% portion to the indexed fixed interest fund (1% AMC) because:
* When I chose my allocation a few years ago I expected there was going to be a market correction coming because US stocks have been priced through the roof. The past few months have suggested this may be happening ...!
* In the event of a downturn a modest allocation to fixed income will help preserve the value of my portfolio and its compound annual growth rate (
Kelly Bet).
* I don't want to completely preclude the possibility of retiring early so this might help a bit with that if I need to adjust my plans.
* Irish Life don't have any good funds available on the forsa scheme in gold, global property etc... that would act as a typical small allocation defensive counterweight.
*More diversification.
All of the above only applies with the AMC rates set on the Forsa Scheme. So my weighted average AMC across all funds will be 0.75% on amounts <€40,000, 0.5% on amounts between €40,000 and €140,000 and 0.25% on everything above €140,000.