Brendan Burgess
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PP go Kate O'Connell (FG) 4/6 Chris Andrews Evens, K Humphreys EvensI am in Dublin Bay South a 4 seater.
The likely outcome Eamon Ryan c. 99% sure; Jim O'Callaghan c. 90% sure - one of the FG TDs - 100% sure.
The last seat will be between
FG
Kevin Humphreys Labour
Chris Andrews SF
And it will be close.
Let's say my personal preference is : 1) Green 2) FF 3) Labour
Given that Green and FF are likely to get elected without my vote, should I give my number 1 to Labour anyway? So vote 1) Labour 2) Green 3) FF
That might keep him in long enough to stay ahead of SF and FG.
If Humphreys does badly, it won't matter, as my second preference will go to the Greens.
If Humphreys does very well and Ryan does much worse than expected, and Humphreys gets elected instead of Ryan , that wouldn't be the end of the World.
My main objective is to keep Andrews out.
Brendan
PP go Kate O'Connell (FG) 4/6 Chris Andrews Evens, K Humphreys Evens
So it seems to me that if the main objective is to keep SF/IRA out you should go No. 1 Kate O'Connell, No. 2 K Humphreys
What happens if Humphreys goes out one count lower than you expect ,I would say more will transfer to SF than FG,But if I prefer Humphreys to Kate O'Connell, surely I should vote Humphreys no 1 , and Kate O'Connell no 2?
If Humphreys gets eliminated, Kate O'Connell will get my full vote.
Brendan
Interesting puzzle on which I have changed my mind.But if I prefer Humphreys to Kate O'Connell, surely I should vote Humphreys no 1 , and Kate O'Connell no 2?
If Humphreys gets eliminated, Kate O'Connell will get my full vote.
Brendan
Your vote wont count for much if Humphreys gets knocked out and most of his left vote go to SF,
As PP favours O'Connell over Humphreys a No. 1 for Humphreys gives the better chance of eliminating Andrews at this stage.
The problem FG have down your neck of the woods,Proportional Representation - Transferable Vote is excellent. Remember after you vote your Number 1 your Number 2 won't come into play until your first preference is elected or eliminated. If you can calculate when candidates will be elected or eliminated you vote can be more powerful. Great System! Miscalculate and you could be doing damage to your preferences.
Apologies, I have no knowledge of constituencies outside of Munster.
The problem FG have down your neck of the woods,
Greens/FG clustered at the top of the ballot paper,Greens on very top both FG just under ,lots of FG types Green types will be ticking all top 3 positions on ballot paper all will be staying there until last counts, kind of a lottery on who gets no/2/3
I expect Green to be picking up splinter voter from further down the field all day long,
My main objective is to keep Andrews out.
Brendan
He could easily have played nicely and let his family connections float him in to a FF cabinet.
What a despicable character, surprised at cremeegg.Hi cremeegg
1) I was giving this as an example.
2) I have gone on many demonstrations in favour of the Palestinian people
3) When Chris had a sandwich shop on Merrion Row I visited it regularly and was very friendly with him and his wife.
But I draw the line at anonymous internet bullying combined with crass stupidity.
Sting op exposes Andrews over FF Twitter rants
FORMER Fianna Fail TD for Dublin South East Chris Andrews has quit the party after being unmasked as the Twitter user @brianformerff -- who posted more than 300 tweets, many highly derogatory of the party leader Micheal Martin and other senior Fianna Fail figures.www.independent.ie
Brendan
surprised at cremeegg.
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