Does the redemption statement have a line that says "Early redemption (breakage) charge"? If so, that is the break fee.
Your break fee should be around €1,020 at the moment – but it is volatile because wholesale interest rates are volatile, so confirm it with Ulster Bank. (I'm assuming that your UB fixed rate ends in
December (not September) 2022. Is that correct?)
- Switching immediately to Haven's 4-year green fixed rate (2.0% with €2,000 cashback) will save you about €2,340 over the next 4 years
- Switching immediately to Avant Money's 7-year fixed rate (2.05% with no cashback) will leave you worse off by about €200 over the next 4 years – but with the longer security of 7 years on a fixed rate
- Switching immediately to Ulster Bank's 5-year fixed rate (2.2% with no cashback) will leave you worse off by about €240 over the next 4 years. But it is very simple and quick to do (no bank statements, salary cert or solicitor, etc., needed).
- Of course, if you decide to do this, you will probably want to switch again in 5 years when your fixed rate expires and your mortgage moves onto Permanent TSB's books, at which point you will be subject to their (probably higher) interest rates
- Switching immediately to Avant Money's 10-year fixed rate (2.2% with no cashback) will leave you worse off by about €1,720 over the next 4 years – but with the even longer security of 10 years on a fixed rate
- Switching immediately to Avant Money's 15-year fixed rate (2.4% with no cashback) will leave you worse off by about €3,760 over the next 4 years – but with the even longer security of 15 years on a fixed rate
These savings estimates use for comparison the scenario of switching to the 2.20% rate with Ulster Bank when the current fixed rate ends. And that's assuming that Ulster Bank (or Permanent TSB, if they have taken over your mortgage by then) are even offering a 2.20% rate in January 2023 – it could be higher (or lower). The estimates also account for fees and any cashback offered by the above lenders.
It may seem like it is not worth switching to another lender but bear in mind that your mortgage will soon be owned by Permanent TSB, whose rates are much higher than Ulster Bank's. So if you don't switch now, you might find that you really want to switch in a few years' time, at which point rates might be higher.
Note that the longer you fix for, the higher the break fee could potentially be in the future, which could be relevant if you want to move home. Of course, it's also possible for a future break fee to be small or zero. And at least some of Avant's fixed rates allow you to "take your mortgage with you" if you move home. It would be worth contacting them for clarification on which mortgages this applies to and on the terms and conditions.
If you're feeling brave, you could consider the strategy outlined in
this thread: switch to Haven's 2.35% 3-year fixed rate and get the €5k cashback. Then quickly switch to Haven's 2.0% green rate. If it works, you will be better off by about €5,340 in four years' time. Nobody knows for sure if Haven will allow you to do this, so you might be stuck on the 2.35% rate, but at least you'd have got the €5k cashback.
Note: if you got a higher property valuation (€444k) or you paid an €8k lump sum off your mortgage, or some combination of the two, you could get your loan-to-value (LTV) ratio below 60%. (It is currently 266k/430k = 61.9%.) That would make you eligible for lower Avant interest rates, which would narrow the gap between Haven and Avant in terms of savings while offering the security of a longer period on a fixed rate (if you went with Avant).