Z
z109
Guest
Re: permanent TSB increase Variable Interest Rates
I don't see your logic with the eurozone coming out of recession. If the eurozone comes out of recession, ECB interest rates will rise and euribor rates will rise with them. Until the consumer debt burden in Ireland is reduced, Irish banks will still face the same premium on their interbank borrowings, i.e. they will continue to pay euribor+risk%
We are caught in the middle seat between a junkie in withdrawal and a neo-nazi skinhead on a non-stop flight to nowhere. If the eurozone economy doesn't recover we are stuffed (exports will start to dry up - the eurozone makes up 44% of our exports by value); if the eurozone economy does recover, interest rates will rise and people will go bust in large numbers.
No, the interbank rate (overnight euribor) is below the ECB rate at the moment. Running about 0.94% today I believe. The problem is there is a risk premium attached to all the Irish banks. Overnight/short-term repos are not covered in the guarantee nor should they be, as they are secured on assets. Unfortunately, those assets are 'worth' well below book value. So a lending bank charges more for the risk it is taking. Euribor is a reference rate. It is like saying the average wage is 43k, it doesn't mean that everyone earns it...I could be wrong but I thought the inter-bank lending rate was what mattered. That's running well ahead of the ECB rate. As the euro-zone comes out of recession the inter-bank rate should drop.
I don't see your logic with the eurozone coming out of recession. If the eurozone comes out of recession, ECB interest rates will rise and euribor rates will rise with them. Until the consumer debt burden in Ireland is reduced, Irish banks will still face the same premium on their interbank borrowings, i.e. they will continue to pay euribor+risk%
We are caught in the middle seat between a junkie in withdrawal and a neo-nazi skinhead on a non-stop flight to nowhere. If the eurozone economy doesn't recover we are stuffed (exports will start to dry up - the eurozone makes up 44% of our exports by value); if the eurozone economy does recover, interest rates will rise and people will go bust in large numbers.