Duke of Marmalade
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That is the best explanation I have seen yet for the received wisdom of not being 100% in equities in retirement even though life expectancy might be 25 years.There is no definitive, universally applicable answer to this question. It very much depends on your individual circumstances.
Personally, I intend to have 10 years of anticipated spending in “safe” assets (cash and government bonds) at the start of my retirement and I will gradually build up that amount over the 10 years prior to retirement.
Anything over and above that amount will continue to be invested in a global equity index fund.
It’s probably worth saying that my objective is to minimise the risk of running out of money before I run out of life. My objective is not to maximise my terminal wealth.
It is certainly true that there is a very high probability (but definitely no guarantee) that equities will outperform bonds over a 25+ year period.
But that’s not the full story when you’re spending down a portfolio.
The sequence of returns is also hugely relevant and hence my proposed 10 year buffer.
First, thanks for such a precise answer - it’s a habit we could all learn!Personally, I intend to have 10 years of anticipated spending in “safe” assets (cash and government bonds) at the start of my retirement and I will gradually build up that amount over the 10 years prior to retirement.
I plan to retire more than 10 years before I would be eligible for a State Contributory pension so I personally ignore that for planning purposes.Anyway you (presumably) will have a contributory state pension. Does your ten-year spending pot take account of that? If it doesn’t then you are being overcautious in my view. The real value of the state pension isn’t certain but it’s a safe assumption that it will always be enough for basic needs
Well, I might well take the same view if I had the benefit of a generous DB pension. Unfortunately, I will have no such luxury.My household wealth on retirement (excluding housing) is likely to be something like 35% state pensions, 45% DB pensions, and 20% DC pension fund. In my case I don’t see any point in ever leaving equities.
Personally, I intend to have 10 years of anticipated spending in “safe” assets (cash and government bonds) at the start of my retirement and I will gradually build up that amount over the 10 years prior to retirement.
Through an indexed, euro zone government bond fund.How do you intend to invest in government bonds?
I started a post on ARF V Annuity a month or so ago. I was very interested in the various contributions. This post has in my opinion introduced a new factor that I hadn’t considered. Namely the 10 years of spending in safe assets covering the first years of retirement. That is something we are in a position to do and allows my wife and I to defer a decision on our DC funds until well after retirement date (which for both of us is well before state retirement age).There is no definitive, universally applicable answer to this question. It very much depends on your individual circumstances.
Personally, I intend to have 10 years of anticipated spending in “safe” assets (cash and government bonds) at the start of my retirement and I will gradually build up that amount over the 10 years prior to retirement.
Anything over and above that amount will continue to be invested in a global equity index fund.
It’s probably worth saying that my objective is to minimise the risk of running out of money before I run out of life. My objective is not to maximise my terminal wealth.
It is certainly true that there is a very high probability (but definitely no guarantee) that equities will outperform bonds over a 25+ year period.
But that’s not the full story when you’re spending down a portfolio.
The sequence of returns is also hugely relevant and hence my proposed 10 year buffer.
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