We are through the worst of it and things will slowly return to normal. It’s estimated that it will cost the Exchequer €15-20bn. A lot of money but backstopped by Europe and stuck on the never-never at 0%, is it really that big a deal?
Yes we might have 25% unemployment but people quote that like it’s a surprise; we’ve chosen to do that to save lives. Those jobs will return in the main.
I believe that the global economy and the Irish economy will thrive in the aftermath of this; the errors in 2009-11 around austerity etc won’t be repeated.
An opinion backed up by some detailed reasoning. Be careful the next thing you know people will be accusing you of making predictions or claiming to be an expert.
The is a very satisfying post Gordon, I can see what you think and why you think it. Any reader can improve their own ideas by considering your points.
I hope that you are correct in saying that the jobs will return. My concern would be that they will not return in the short term and that they will be different jobs requiring different skills when the do return.
It is not that I dont think that the world will recover, it is that the markets dont reflect how bumpy the ride will be. Negative oil prices ??