Interest rates - market view
- Thread starter WizardDr
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Check out www.bloomberg.com
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Guest107
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Thats because they read my prediction and agree with me. I loaded some €€€ into betfair at for 50Bp @ 12/1 early this week as a hedge against mortgage prices for the rest of the year ...only , not because I gamble habituallyshnaek said:
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Guest107
Guest
Only in order to speculatively underpin my superlative judgement my dear fellow.Glenbhoy said:Indeed, yet you have a betfair account
I punt once a month or so and never look at the site until the idea strikes me first . Then I say, wonder what Betfair ?.........???
Usually I punt at odds of 8/1 or higher so breakeven is crudely once every 8 punts . At 12/1 I simply could not resist.
SidTheDweeb
Registered User
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It traded as high as 40.0 ... that's a value bet
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Guest107
Guest
More To Indicate 50Bp Today
Eurozone Manufacturing Is Rocking Along Despite The High Euro
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/7042bc88-f14e-11da-940b-0000779e2340.html
Somebody better tell those "must get on housing ladder" muppets though , its really time for Brian Cowan to address the nation I think !
Eurozone Manufacturing Is Rocking Along Despite The High Euro
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/7042bc88-f14e-11da-940b-0000779e2340.html
Somebody better tell those "must get on housing ladder" muppets though , its really time for Brian Cowan to address the nation I think !
2Pack said:
And now, Chinese inflation. Who would have guessed, the central banks flood the world with liquidity and we get inflation; shock horror.
http://www.fnarena.com/index2.cfm?type=dsp_newsitem&n=8D8E3C3F-3048-5296-A2098E054549537E
What odds now for 50bp next week?
[broken link removed]
Euro zone inflation pressures 5yr high - report
Last updated: 02-06-06, 12:04
Rising inflation in Germany and France pushed underlying price pressures in the euro zone to 5-1/2 year highs in April, according to an index published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute today. ECRI, which designs indices aimed at predicting business cycles, said its Eurozone Future Inflation Gauge (EZFIG) rose to 103.4 in April from March's 102.2.
"With the EZFIG rising to a 5-1/2 year high in its latest reading, euro zone inflation pressures are clearly in a cyclical upswing," ECRI said in a statement.
Latest official euro zone data showed annual inflation rose by a sharper-than-expected 2.5 per cent in May, while a report from the European Commission showed a strong rise in consumers' inflation expectations last month.
The European Central Bank is widely expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on June 8th, but the recent data have increased the probability that the bank may raise rates more aggressively, by half a percentage point.
The ECRI gauge aims to anticipate cyclical swings in the region's inflation rate and changes in official interest rate policy by measuring underlying inflationary pressures, rather than actual inflation rates.
The euro zone gauge uses a weighted average of ECRI's indices for Germany, France, Italy and Spain, whose components include measurements of bond yields, loans to individuals and businesses, raw material prices, employment and unemployment, money supply and business activity.
The German index jumped to 91.5 from 87.2 in March, whilst the French one rose to 103.5 from March's 103.1.
In contrast, the gauge for Italy dipped to 101.2 from 101.5 and the Spanish index eased to 154.3 from 159.8.
"The (German) index was pushed up by inflationary moves in measures of materials prices, money supply, orders and loans, partly offset by disinflationary moves in measures of interest rates and import prices," ECRI said.
[broken link removed]
Euro zone inflation pressures 5yr high - report
Last updated: 02-06-06, 12:04
Rising inflation in Germany and France pushed underlying price pressures in the euro zone to 5-1/2 year highs in April, according to an index published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute today. ECRI, which designs indices aimed at predicting business cycles, said its Eurozone Future Inflation Gauge (EZFIG) rose to 103.4 in April from March's 102.2.
"With the EZFIG rising to a 5-1/2 year high in its latest reading, euro zone inflation pressures are clearly in a cyclical upswing," ECRI said in a statement.
Latest official euro zone data showed annual inflation rose by a sharper-than-expected 2.5 per cent in May, while a report from the European Commission showed a strong rise in consumers' inflation expectations last month.
The European Central Bank is widely expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on June 8th, but the recent data have increased the probability that the bank may raise rates more aggressively, by half a percentage point.
The ECRI gauge aims to anticipate cyclical swings in the region's inflation rate and changes in official interest rate policy by measuring underlying inflationary pressures, rather than actual inflation rates.
The euro zone gauge uses a weighted average of ECRI's indices for Germany, France, Italy and Spain, whose components include measurements of bond yields, loans to individuals and businesses, raw material prices, employment and unemployment, money supply and business activity.
The German index jumped to 91.5 from 87.2 in March, whilst the French one rose to 103.5 from March's 103.1.
In contrast, the gauge for Italy dipped to 101.2 from 101.5 and the Spanish index eased to 154.3 from 159.8.
"The (German) index was pushed up by inflationary moves in measures of materials prices, money supply, orders and loans, partly offset by disinflationary moves in measures of interest rates and import prices," ECRI said.
bearishbull
Registered User
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Remix said:Interest rates to be set in Dublin?
I think I'll be outside the central bank with a placard: " we joined the euro and all we got was a d*mn property bubble"
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Our central banks could have increase reserve ratios etc and limit lending ,might be an investigation into the bank when the property bubble bursts.
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Guest107
Guest
I Never understood why they spouted wind and piss about being 'concerned' and never upped the reserve ratios to show they were serious about it . Maybe its IFSRAs fault not the CB, dunno.bearishbull said:
Too late now.
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thewatcher
Guest
There'll be another round of tribunals al la the planning and corruption one's of the 1980's no doubt,no body will be blamed apart from a few scapegoats and the legal profession will make a fortune.
(We'll thats what my crystal ball says anyway !)
(We'll thats what my crystal ball says anyway !)
The ECB have entered their "blackout period" prior to the meeting so Trichet gave no hints on rates.
Trichet did get his blood up at the meeting though
No hints link.
Trichet did get his blood up at the meeting though
No hints link.
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Guest107
Guest
Bugger