I'll start by saying that the idea of working past 66, voluntarily or by reason of financial need, basically horrifies me. Most of my financial planning is oriented around getting out the door at the earliest opportunity. There may be massively satisfying positions out there but most jobs I've done could be performed well by a decent robot. And while I've had respect for most of my colleagues over the years, the fact is that we're literally paid to interact and (with a very small number of exceptions) I can't wait to never see any of them ever again. Everyone should have something outside of work that makes them happy, and nobody should live to work.
employers need at some point to be able to let an employee go
Employers and employees are perfectly able to come to another arrangement if they wish.
The law in Europe generally recognises the massive power imbalance between employers and employees. Employees literally depend on their wage to keep a roof over their head and put food on the table. Without intervention you basically have employment at will, which sounds great right up to the point where you're the person being employed at will. Everyone is at the end of the day replaceable, and anyone who thinks otherwise is a delusional fool.
Again I keep going back to the concept that the state pension should be a fraction of your retirement income, not the bulk as the value will erode over time. Not for retirements in the coming years I am sure, but as auto enrolment kicks off and people become more financially literate and proactive about planning etc then the sands will shift.
100%. The State pension should be considered a bare minimum rather than the entire thing. But I think we're a long long way from the point where the COAP starts reducing in real terms.
- First of all, it'll take decades for Auto Enrolment to have any real effect in terms of supplementing the COAP.
- Second, the older people are the more likely they are to vote, and even slowing down the rate of increase of the the COAP will hurt a lot of people financially. Everyone hates losing what they have (or think they have) so that frog will have to be boiled very very slowly: the change to the total contributions approach is being phased in over 10 years and was flagged 6 years at least ahead of time. This is probably the most important point in my opinion: remember that the 2020 election was decided essentially over the proposed increase of the pension age in 2021, now delayed to 2035 at the earliest.
There's more than one way to skin a cat though, and there's an argument that private pensions act as de facto arms length sovereign wealth fund due to the taxes which will be taken from them when vested. I reckon (and my figures could be way out) that the tax, USC, & PRSI I pay in retirement will be maybe third of what I'll be getting in COAP. That's a big saving without the government having to touch the actual rate at which I'm receiving it.
The real challenge though is financially educating people. How many people leave secondary school with any real understanding of compounding and how to use Excel and some clue as to what stock markets and indices are? I did honour's maths & accounting for the Leaving and did business in college supplemented 15 years later by a masters in business and I graduated with the masters STILL having no understanding of any of those (edit- I mean compounding, indices and Excel; I had a reasonably good understanding of what I was actually taught!). In my mid 20s I just had a vague notion that setting up a pension would be a good idea.
- I doubt if I'm unique- this stuff should be part of the core curriculum all through secondary school but people are probably still learning about quadratic equations but skipping these kind of skills which will arguably help set them up for life.