Re: Cashflow?
Hi Sunnyday
>> But the bigger problem as I see it, is not trying to sell one today, but rather in 10 or 20 years'
Like any other real estate investment, you will make your money when you buy rather than when you sell. If you carefully choose your leaseback unit then you can at least attempt to minimise future risks. My preference is for units in areas of high rental demand and resaleability i.e. I prefer urban areas (e.g. Paris, Toulouse, Bordeaux, etc.) where in the future you have a potential market of tourists/business people/students and locals. I cringe when I see some developments consisting of timber huts hanging off the side of mountains. If you keep an eye on the Sunday property supplements you may have seen one or two of those!
If you do adequate research then I would prefer to have to sell a leaseback unit after the lease than during it (especially after the first year or two). The reason I say this is that your initial return is a fixed percentage of the net price you pay for the unit. It then increases at the rate of INSEE inflation per annum, which is generally far less than property price inflation. Assuming that property prices will continue to increase, your rental return as a percentage of the increasing value of the unit will decrease each year. Hence as each year passes the unit is less attractive to investors. It is not until the initial lease expires that you will have the opportunity of bringing the rent back in line with the value of the unit.
The above point is crucial in understanding the nature of leaseback investments. They are a good long term (i.e. >10 years) investment. Despite what some selling agents may tell you they are not suitable as short to medium term investments. Hope this helps.
Regards,
Paidi