Current public sentiment towards the housing market?

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Phibsboro terrace price decreased from to [broken link removed]

And all the kings horses and all the kings men.....

Made an inquiry on the property to test the market. Said i would be interested in viewing but my ceiling was max 340K. He was open to my offer.
 
Not a good analogy. A place to live is a necessity. A bottle of wine?

Come on now, I'm selling my house, it still won't leave me homeless. Housing is a commodity. The state has a duty of care to make sure the less well-off aren't homeless but that doesn't mean every citizen in the state should be able to afford to buy a home.
 
Come on now, I'm selling my house, it still won't leave me homeless. Housing is a commodity. The state has a duty of care to make sure the less well-off aren't homeless but that doesn't mean every citizen in the state should be able to afford to buy a home.

I agree with that statement to a certain extent, but at the moment the only way
people CAN buy a house is if :

a) They have substantial wealth
or
b) They get into debt up the their eyeballs for the next 35-40 years.

Surely it doesn't have to be that way.
 
And right there is where you miss the crucial point. Wealth didn't increase, debt increased. We're running debt at 190% of GDP. There are few people who are much richer now than in 2000; there are however a staggering number who are indebted to the eyeballs.

Did house prices not increase prior to 2000? Are we not wealthier as a nation since the early 90's? However, since 2000/2001 we have turned inward, decreasing exports, increasing imports. Like someone no longer working but continuing to live off their savings.

Government "interference" is the only thing that will make sure that this doesn't happen again. You are talking about laissez-faire economics, the survival of the fittest and the idea that monopolies will never exist.

You mentioned laissez-faire economics not me. The state has a duty to make sure the less well-off aren't exploited but that duty doesn't extend to making sure every couple can afford to buy a 3 bedroom house within commuting distance of Dublin.

What would you call government price fixing of a commodity? It sounds very like socialism and almost always ends in tears. If the government fixes house prices then builders will have no incentive to build good houses since they'll get paid the same amount anyway. In fact they'll be postively incentivised to build the cheapest dump the regulations will allow them get away with. If the government implements a law to prevent investors outbidding FTBs then a black market will spring up around that.

With proper planning and regulation there should be no need for a government to intervene in the market. Surely no rational person can look at the housing market in Ireland today and think the solution is even more government intervention?
 
I agree with that statement to a certain extent, but at the moment the only way
people CAN buy a house is if :

a) They have substantial wealth
or
b) They get into debt up the their eyeballs for the next 35-40 years.

Surely it doesn't have to be that way.

The seller doesn't dictate the price, the buyer does. Once buyers expectations are for lower prices then the sellers will have to lower their prices accordingly. It doesn't need government intervention, just a little cop on from buyers.
 
With proper planning and regulation there should be no need for a government to intervene in the market. Surely no rational person can look at the housing market in Ireland today and think the solution is even more government intervention?

Planning and regulation is, in of itself, market intervention. Central Bank regulation of lending criteria is also market intervention. Are you saying that it is not?
 
phoenix_n - fascinating insight. These type of small, run down, potential money pit properties (even if it is in a city centre location) will be hard to sell... Saying that - I expected to see more examples of commuter apartments nose diving before these houses.

To put things in perspective though - I see there is a 2 bed ground floor apartment in Portland Lock for sale accross the road from the property you posted. They are looking for €360,000, for a less then 2 year old apartment at 743 sqft (which is much bigger then the house).

I'm assuming the negatives on the apartment
- ground floor
- no mention of parking space, so I assume none
- the canal is crappy looking especially in the summer.

BUT - I would pay at least 30k more for the apartment than I would for the house (wouldn't pay 360k for the apartment)..... You could debate whether the house is overvalued at 360k, but it definitley puts in perspective how pricey the St. Ignatius property is. Would you agree?
 
The seller doesn't dictate the price, the buyer does.

Yes, but when something is a necessity and it's in short supply, the buyer doesn't
have a choice in dictating the price. Hence a "seller's market" when supply exceeds
demand the tables turn.
 
Did house prices not increase prior to 2000? Are we not wealthier as a nation since the early 90's? However, since 2000/2001 we have turned inward, decreasing exports, increasing imports. Like someone no longer working but continuing to live off their savings.
We're not living off savings, we are living off future earnings. Why is this so hard to understand?

You mentioned laissez-faire economics not me.
I just described the situation you seem to want.

The state has a duty to make sure the less well-off aren't exploited but that duty doesn't extend to making sure every couple can afford to buy a 3 bedroom house within commuting distance of Dublin.
Thats a false dichotomy, its not an either-or situation.

What would you call government price fixing of a commodity? It sounds very like socialism and almost always ends in tears. If the government fixes house prices then builders will have no incentive to build good houses since they'll get paid the same amount anyway. In fact they'll be postively incentivised to build the cheapest dump the regulations will allow them get away with. If the government implements a law to prevent investors outbidding FTBs then a black market will spring up around that.
Black market houses, indeed. They'll be smuggling them in with the chinese in containers via the channel tunnel. Who is talking about fixing prices here? Knock out investors whose only purpose is to drive property prices up, to the detriment of society as a whole, and the idea of a property tax is sounding more and more appealing to me. No property tax for your primary living home, cumulatively increasing property taxes for every house after the first that you own. That sounds about right. Landlords can factor that into the rent if they like, and it will provide a serious incentive not to own too many residential properties.

And don't start crying about what will we do to earn money then. Learn about other investments. Put some of that cash into local businesses, start your own, invest in equities. There are a million other ways to earn money.

With proper planning and regulation there should be no need for a government to intervene in the market. Surely no rational person can look at the housing market in Ireland today and think the solution is even more government intervention?
Proper planning and regulation ARE government interference. In my opinion, no rational person would be looking at the property market in in Ireland today. They'd be off in the middle of the most affluent sections of New York City, buying property for the same price as in Phibsboro.
 
The seller doesn't dictate the price, the buyer does. Once buyers expectations are for lower prices then the sellers will have to lower their prices accordingly. It doesn't need government intervention, just a little cop on from buyers.

The seller can dictate a minimum price and your scenario only works in a situation where a sale is mandatory. The seller always has the option to wait out.
 
Planning and regulation is, in of itself, market intervention. Central Bank regulation of lending criteria is also market intervention. Are you saying that it is not?

Apologies, I probably didn't make myself clear. I'm not in favour of an all out scrap. Proper planning is needed to make sure houses are build in appropriate areas and at appropriate densities with required amenities etc. Regulation is needed to ensure building compliance and so forth. These areas are currently lacking.

What am I against is the government directly intervening in the market (e.g. price caps on houses, insisting investors cannot outbid FTBs etc. - all the stuff that is being suggested here). I consider the stock market and commodities markets to be "free markets" but regulation is still required to limit abuse of the system.

Let people play, just give them rules to play by and referees to ensure the rules are obeyed.
 
The seller can dictate a minimum price and your scenario only works in a situation where a sale is mandatory. The seller always has the option to wait out.


Not all sellers have the option to wait it out - numerous factors can force a seller to sell at a price below what they want to sell for. Increasing interest rates/Death/sickness in the family/Relocation etc.......
 
Yes, but when something is a necessity and it's in short supply, the buyer doesn't
have a choice in dictating the price. Hence a "seller's market" when supply exceeds
demand the tables turn.

If the buyer's wait then the tables will turn.
 
What am I against is the government directly intervening in the market (e.g. price caps on houses, insisting investors cannot outbid FTBs etc. - all the stuff that is being suggested here). I consider the stock market and commodities markets to be "free markets" but regulation is still required to limit abuse of the system.

Let people play, just give them rules to play by and referees to ensure the rules are obeyed.

Personally I am not looking for price caps on houses or not allowing investors to outbid FTBs. But I would recommend reassessing the taxation situation particularly for investment properties bought but never released onto the rental market, for example.
 
(e.g. price caps on houses, insisting investors cannot outbid FTBs etc. - all the stuff that is being suggested here).
You're the only one suggesting these things. Making it hard for investors to outbid FTBs means putting significantly higher taxes on property purchases after the first, so it doesn't make economic sense to buy houses for investment.
 
Interesting one from the Times in London.

I enjoyed the "Debt is now so ubiquitous it brings a certain complaicancy". What differs between the UK and Ireland is that in the UK the complaicancy comes from lack of understanding of the basis of mortgage arrangements and loans. In Ireland it seems to come from the irrational belief that "the gubbernent will save me" if/when the bank send in the bailiffs to repossess.
 
came across this in todays indo -

http://www.unison.ie/irish_independent/stories.php3?ca=302&si=1686895&issue_id=14635


im no karl marx myself - quite the opposite actually - but taxation is one of the few levers left to elected democratic government to influence the society it governs on behalf of.

The arrogance of those who have gained hugely from the recent property boom is really something to behold.

Land tax is probably the best taxation system ever thought of and by far the fairest. The government should scrap every other tax and accrue all the required revenue through land tax alone.
 
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