Conference "The Irish Mortgage Market in Context"

[Brendan Burgess]

[FONT=&quot]Organised by the Central Bank[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]13 October 2011[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Radisson Blu Hotel, Golden Lane[/FONT]


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[FONT=&quot]8:45 - 9:00 Opening Remarks[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]P[/FONT][FONT=&quot]atrick [/FONT][FONT=&quot]Honohan, Governor, Central Bank of Ireland[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]9:00 - 11:15 Session 1: Estimates of house prices and negative equity[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Chair: Gregory Connor NUI Maynooth[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Paper 1 “Irish mortgage borrowers: Who, where, what, why and how much?”,[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Gerard Kennedy and Tara McIndoe Calder,[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Central Bank of Ireland[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Paper 2 “Who has negative equity? Some insights from loan level micro-data”,[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]David Duffy and Niall O’Hanlon[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Economic and Social Research Institute and Central Statistics Office[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Paper 3 “Decomposition of Irish house price movements 2000 - 2010”,[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Yvonne McCarthy and Kieran McQuinn,[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Central Bank of Ireland[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]D[/FONT][FONT=&quot]i[/FONT][FONT=&quot]scussant: Ronan Lyons, Balliol College and Department of Economics, Oxford[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]11:15 [/FONT][FONT=&quot]- 11:30 Coffee[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]11:30 [/FONT][FONT=&quot]- 1:15 Session 2: Modelling mortgage arrears[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Chair: TBC[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Paper 1 “The good, the bad and the impaired - A credit risk model of the Irish mortgage market”,[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]R[/FONT][FONT=&quot]o[/FONT][FONT=&quot]b[/FONT][FONT=&quot]er[/FONT][FONT=&quot]t[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Kel[/FONT][FONT=&quot]l[/FONT][FONT=&quot]y[/FONT][FONT=&quot],[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Central Bank of Ireland[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Paper 2 “Modelling and forecasting UK mortgage arrears and possessions”,[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]John [/FONT][FONT=&quot]M[/FONT][FONT=&quot]uel[/FONT][FONT=&quot]l[/FONT][FONT=&quot]ba[/FONT][FONT=&quot]uer[/FONT][FONT=&quot],[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Nuffield College and Institute for Economic Modelling, University of Oxford[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]D[/FONT][FONT=&quot]i[/FONT][FONT=&quot]scussant: TBC[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]2:15 - 4:00 Session 3: Modelling mortgage arrears and some solutions[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Chair: John Fitzgerald, Economic and Social Research Institute[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Paper 1 “What lies beneath? Understanding recent trends in Irish mortgage arrears”,[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Reamonn Lydon and Yvonne McCarthy,[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Central Bank of Ireland[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Paper 2 “Borrower behaviour in distressed mortgage markets: Comparative studies from the US, UK and ROI. With a focus on the efficacy of loan modifications”,[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]James [/FONT][FONT=&quot]W[/FONT][FONT=&quot]a[/FONT][FONT=&quot]t[/FONT][FONT=&quot]k[/FONT][FONT=&quot]i[/FONT][FONT=&quot]ns[/FONT][FONT=&quot],[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]BlackRock Solutions[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]D[/FONT][FONT=&quot]i[/FONT][FONT=&quot]scussant: Karl Whelan, University College Dublin[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]4:00 - 4:15 Coffee[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]4:15 - 5:30 Session 3: Key-note address[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]“Why did [/FONT][FONT=&quot]so many people make so many ex post bad decisions? The causes of the U.S. foreclosure crisis”,[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Kr[/FONT][FONT=&quot]i[/FONT][FONT=&quot]stopher Gerardi,[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]A[/FONT][FONT=&quot]tlanta Federal Reserve[/FONT]




[FONT=&quot]T[/FONT][FONT=&quot]o confirm [/FONT][FONT=&quot]a[/FONT][FONT=&quot]tt[/FONT][FONT=&quot]e[/FONT][FONT=&quot]nd[/FONT][FONT=&quot]e[/FONT][FONT=&quot]n[/FONT][FONT=&quot]c[/FONT][FONT=&quot]e[/FONT][FONT=&quot],[/FONT][FONT=&quot] please e-mail: patricia.kearney@centralbank.ie

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[hastalavista]

Reminder

This gig is on 13th [next Thursday] and

[broken link removed]

contains some of the presentations.

The one by Blackrock Solutions is worth a look.