The markets have priced in more interest rate rises, look at M3 money supply 10% for february these will decrease affordability for geared house buyers, I am trying to help out the poster without discussing house prices, a quite tricky thing to do, hence my focus on rates, etc.
Trichet has been very frank, no pun intended, about his intentions to deal with excess liquidity & very predictible in his timing.
Wait to hear him say "accomodative" in the next ECB report.
I do make a killing on lots of markets, btw, with lots of help from my internet friends![]()
9 month Euribor futures currently price in a 40% chance of two more rate rises (Dec 07). 6 month Euribor futures only price in an 11% chance of two raises (Sept 07).
As I said - if you are that confident of your forecasting ability, open an account and make a killing on the Eurex exchange. Bid price on the 3 month is hovering around the 95 level right now.
Any further discussion should probably be moved to the ECB rate rises thread but I just wanted to point that neither you nor I know when or how many rises there will be. We are merely speculating so why not put your money where your mouth is when you do so.