shnaek - I do agree that things are set for an adjustment, but you state that the governement intervention has kept that market boyant... Yes, the government could have done things differently, but I maintain the fact stamp duty is soo high is an example of how the government remained politically disciplined. They could have guaranteed tens of thousand of votes by making dramatic changes to stamp duty..
(I know the tax revenue is massive from stamp., but a govt wants votes not money in the bank...)
The future ability to remove/reduce stamp could very well be a tactic to keep the market steady in the future.
Also, we are reaching a correction phase with interest rate increases - and about time... Our base rate should be at 4% (i.e. mort rates at over 5%) and the base rate should have been over 3% 2 years ago. The property market has overheated based on low rates - this was something out of our economies control. We are going to have to suffer a little, while the rate correction kicks in - lets not over hype anything either way on this......
- Economy is still buying and producing
- Employment is high
- Inflation is okay - not good but okay
- no major pulling out of multinationals
Only one of the negative boxes is currently ticked (interest rates rising) - and my only complaint is that it didn't happen 2/3 years ago...
First Time buyers, investors taking risks to name just a few property owners exposed have a few other areas to look at before house prices take a big hit -
- Less nights out
- Lidl/Aldi instead of marks and Sparks/Superquinn
- A 1 year old car instead of a new car
- 2 holidays instead of 3 in a year
- 15k wedding instead of a 30k wedding.
Bigger picture here folks - when some of the other economic indicators start flashing bright red then we should worry....
(I know the tax revenue is massive from stamp., but a govt wants votes not money in the bank...)
The future ability to remove/reduce stamp could very well be a tactic to keep the market steady in the future.
Also, we are reaching a correction phase with interest rate increases - and about time... Our base rate should be at 4% (i.e. mort rates at over 5%) and the base rate should have been over 3% 2 years ago. The property market has overheated based on low rates - this was something out of our economies control. We are going to have to suffer a little, while the rate correction kicks in - lets not over hype anything either way on this......
- Economy is still buying and producing
- Employment is high
- Inflation is okay - not good but okay
- no major pulling out of multinationals
Only one of the negative boxes is currently ticked (interest rates rising) - and my only complaint is that it didn't happen 2/3 years ago...
First Time buyers, investors taking risks to name just a few property owners exposed have a few other areas to look at before house prices take a big hit -
- Less nights out
- Lidl/Aldi instead of marks and Sparks/Superquinn
- A 1 year old car instead of a new car
- 2 holidays instead of 3 in a year
- 15k wedding instead of a 30k wedding.
Bigger picture here folks - when some of the other economic indicators start flashing bright red then we should worry....