The story itself is a bit odd:
The package being drawn up could also include extra tax reliefs for private landlords subject to strict conditions. One of these is expected to be that they commit to provide their property as a long-term let, meaning a tenant would have fixity of tenure.
Any landlord is de facto committing to a long-term let. After six months any tenancy automatically converts to a "Part 4" tenancy and can only be ended on specific named grounds such as serious renovation, landlord or a family member moving in, or intention to sell. The longer a tenant stays the longer the notice period, and after as little as a year a tenant needs to be given 6 months' notice. The grounds to end the tenancy on a "no reason" basis after six years are being phased out, and were seldom used anyway.
When compared with other EU countries, Ireland has very few domestic properties available on five- or 10-year leases.
I would think that very few tenants in Ireland actually
want a five- or ten-year lease.
The
RTB tenant survey of 2021 had a few interesting facts in this regard:
- Just 14 % of tenants had been in the private rental sector for 11 years or more. The mean was five years and the median was just three years.
- The median tenant had been in their property for just 2 years, the mean was 4 years. Just 6% of tenants had been in one property continuously for 11 years or more.
- 7% of private rented tenants actually own a property already!
- Only 3% of tenants rate their experience as negative or very negative
- Only 25% saw themselves as private renters in ten years' time, but as per the first bullet point in reality that turns out to be a lot lower
On the demand side renting is culturally something people do when they move for a job, suffer relationship breakdown, or when they're saving for a house. Obviously it's something that some people get stuck in long term but for all sorts of reasons if you want to settle in one place then you are much better off with a social tenancy or owning your own house. I could be wrong, but I don't see Ireland turning into Berlin any time soon where you have a large fraction of the population happy to rent privately very long term.
The big problem with private rental in Ireland is the cost. The median tenant pays 30% in net income in rent, the mean is 35%, and 27% of renters pay over 40% of net income in rent. I don't think that this is socially desirable by any means and a rental tax credit is probably no bad thing given the tax benefits of owner occupancy. Rent controls have their place over the short term too but the long term solution consists of only three things: supply, supply, and supply.
Government policy has to be about nothing else other than getting new landlords into the market and ideally getting them to finance new builds. Sadly I don't see much more evidence of this.