Hi Dinarius , I hope you're right that they will leave the SVR'S alone for the most part when the rates do rise but I certainly won't be taking that for granted with the form our dasterly banks have shown to date. You are correct with the point you make re what happened in 2007/08 but if they try that they'll have a lot more re - possession cases on their hands with the numbers of people who won't be able to cope with the repayments, If say the ECB went to 3% and at the current differential between trackers and us we'd be up to 6-7%, I know what ll be happening my apt keys. As they've interfered in the rental market by regulating the rates an increase wouldn't be possible for a long time after the rate increase to compensate for these rises. I agree by the way with the rent regulation and I'm not a landlord but they were able to interfere with that side of things but according to themselves, namely the government and the central bank, when abdicating responsibility they can't interfere in rate setting. On the subject that this thread is really about roll on the campaign and my chance to give them a taste of what it's like for SVR holders and this time an agreed reply won't be good enuf, you can fool some of the people some of the time but you can't fool all of the people all of the time, please do the same, as many of us as possible .Nothing is going to happen in the mortgage market until rates start to rise - whenever that is.
Those on tracker mortgages will then start paying their way, rather than being subsidized by the STV market like they are currently.
I think that a probable scenario will be something like this; if rates rose, say, 2%, those on 1% trackers would pay 3%, but those on, say, 3.5% STVs might only pay 3.75%, or some such.
Remember that the current rise on the market is predicated entirely on STVs not getting out of hand. If any sudden move in interest rates was passed on fully to the STV market also, we would very quickly have another 2007/08 scenario. It is the tracker market that will carry most, if not all, of the rise in rates, in my opinion.
But, when that happens is anyone's guess.
D.
Hi Dinarius I think you're dead right that thery'd be riots if the rises are pro rata. I don't begrudge those on trackers by the way, , good luck to them, it's the banks behaviour at the end of the day and that of the people who have a consumer protection role I'm angry with call it capitalism if you wish.Hi Tony,
Thanks for the reply.
I stand by my point that everything that's happening now is predicated on the SVR market. So, those buying are buying at rock bottom in terms of % rates (whether you agree, or not, that the margin the banks are taking is extortionate) and when rates do rise, it is those on trackers who will take the brunt of the hit. There is no way, in my view, that a pro rata rise will occur in both tracker and SVR. There would be riots on the streets. The % difference will get closer, not stay the same.
D.
There would be riots on the streets
I very much doubt the riots would happen.
SVR customers are being fleeced at the moment and there is very little noise about it.
I would not be surprised if tracker and svr rates increased by the same amount, lets say by 0.25% every so often.
If the banks feel they could get away with it, you can be certain they will try.] Hi Todo that's exactly what my fear is too and I said as much at the start of my 1st reply to Dinarius. The way things have been so far they will do it and get away with it . I don't condone violence but a hard natured reaction would definitely be called for ànd would be the only response, unfortunately there are way too many submissive people in this country, maybe it's just that people aren't feeling enough pain and can cope with the banks behaviour and they'll just take it. We've gone way too submissive in this country I'd love to hear with the year that's in it what the people who fought in the rising and in the civil war would have to say.
Fianna Fail has insisted it will introduce measures to "beat" banks into slashing variable rates for mortgage customers in a move that has placed the party on a collision course with the Central Bank.
During a press conference on housing today, Fianna Fáil senator Darragh O'Brien said he disagreed with Governor Philip Lane's claims that banks cannot be compelled into rate reductions, adding: "Phillip Lane isn't the oracle".
The party says its economic plan, due to be published next week, will contain a pledge to introduce "strong deterrents" aimed at stopping banks from charging excessive rates...
...
"I don't agree with the Governor. There is thousands of variable rate customers paying way above the odds," Mr O'Brien said.
"Philip Lane isn't the oracle. I respect his view. But the reality is, we have people paying hundreds of euro per month above the odds, who are middle Ireland and they need to see a result," he added.
As you know, they can 'insist' all they want but the Banks can chose to ignore them.
As you know, they can 'insist' all they want but the Banks can chose to ignore them.
Just cannot see any of that happening.
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