A final point is to consider the effects of inflation on your money.
With a deposit account many people shop around on the basis of an extra tenth of a percent without considering the corrosive effect of inflation over time.
Deposit accounts don’t give you the opportunity to do any better than the rate on offer.
If we apply the standard assumption of 2.5% p.a. (which in itself can be considered conservative) in your savings scenario then the net inflation effect would reduce the ‘real’ value of your €241,143 deposit down to €147,164.
In other words, it’s purchasing power would have fallen by a whopping 39%.
The same, of course, would apply to your pension savings in that your €580,463 would have an equivalent real value in 20 years of €354,243.
Even a pension with no growth, ending up at €400,000, would have a net present value of €244,108.
That’s how big a deal inflation risk is.
So, let’s look at a comparison between your options and evaluate them in NPV terms.
In all cases you would be spending the same €240,000 (which we’ll keep in today’s value) so doing a comparison between this and the net present value of all 3 options would result in the following;
1) A real loss of €78,173 (€161,827 - €240,000) in the deposit account.
2) A real gain of €4,108 (€244,108 - €240,000) in a pension with no growth.
3) A real gain of €114,243 (€354,243 - €240,000) in a pension with net growth of 3.75% p.a.
Investment returns are not a luxury if you are saving/investing in anything long term because you need to be beating inflation at a minimum to keep the value of your money real.
In a pension fund you have a multitude of options to do this notwithstanding the potential for downside risk.
Kevin
www.thepensionstore.ie