Raging Bull
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I couldn't support any of the suggestions made.
Central Bank:
Other than dictating the market clearing funding rate, the Central Bank should not be getting involved in rate setting.
Putting a cap on a Bank’s customer rates effectively interferes with the pricing of risk.
If a Bank can’t price its own risk then one could argue they could have recourse to the Central Bank - shadow directorship, overstepping its mandate etc.
Irish credit rates are high and so are Irish RISK levels.
- Mortgage Default rates are up at 10%,
- There is limited ability to enforce security,
- There is public & social opposition to enforcements,
- As a result, enforcement costs are very high - mandated delays between the event of default and potential settlement, multiple court hearings, non-payment in the intervening period.
- LTI coverage is poor, increased tax, lower incomes etc – evidenced by the spokesperson, Sarah, who admitted she couldn’t switch as she couldn’t meet the new LTI threshold.
Is it even possible to give the Irish Central Bank the power to set maximum interest rates? Is the Irish Central Bank not an agent of the ECB?
I find it interesting to hear Noonan during the week saying (i) he’d await the report from the Central Bank, then (ii) he’d call in the Banks and tell them to reduce their rates. He has completely prejudged the report. Any other sector of society and people would’ve picked up on this.
Brian Hayes:
The Brian Hayes comments represent “me fein” politics at its finest.
How many in attendance will now think about voting for Mr Hayes or Mr McGrath?
Provide people on variables with Tax Subsidies? This is potential tax income being directed at one group in society that could go elsewhere – social housing (Christ!), lower PAYE rates for everyone, increased health spending. No debate? What about the impact this would have on the valuations of AIB & PTSB? The proceeds from which are to be used to repay state debt.
As for “Irish banks continue to gouge holders of variable rate mortgages……………..The banks continue to charge almost 2% more for their product compared to similar mortgage products in the Eurozone”
That’s the thing. These are not similar products. In the rest of the Eurozone, you can enforce your security.
As for the FHA providing “25 year fixed term interest mortgages”? That statement doesn’t even make sense. Is the tenor fixed? Because that’s what “fixed term” means. Smacks of someone talking about something someone isn’t familiar with. What break fees would be incurred on these fixed rate loans? Or are borrowers locked in their “1st time buyer” properties for life?
“The Central Bank should also be supporting plans by the Credit Union movement to provide a limited range of well secured mortgage products”
No problem with Credit Unions doing mortgages but the second part of his statement is More Nonsense – as outlined, Irish home loans are not well secured. The Banks are struggling to enforce their security.
Ross Maguire:
Challenge the legitimacy of variable interest rates? What sort of statement is that (maybe Brendan paraphrased him – BB was rushing).
Libor/Euribor are bloody variable rate used by the entire world - How can it be illegitimate?
Is he questioning the use of internal Bank rates i.e. rates no linked to some publicly quoted rate?
The fact there was widespread support for this is hardly surprising considering the audience (a room full of SVR borrowers).
My thoughts:
- The housing market is completely dysfunctional.
- Supply is virtually non-existent.
- Average build costs are way too high - build up FFS like any normal city. I’ve lived in a 14 story building and a 38 story building – both very nice looking and both fine. Why can’t this work in Dublin? The sky line is not that great guys.
- If you want, take the new “Bank levy” and build proper commuter transportation infrastructure – dual line tracks with express trains.
- Fix the repos. Allow a bank enforce its mortgages quickly. Housing people afterwards is the state’s problem – not those of the Banks.
- By making a Bank provide free accommodation to delinquent borrowers the costs are ringfenced directly onto that Bank's customer base rather than the entire taxpayer base.
- Introduce proper rental market controls. Landlords cannot evict delinquent tenants. The PRTB is a waste of time. If you want, set proper rental increase caps linked to cost inflation, interest rate inflation and tax inflation.
when you think that the water protests started off with a hand full of people in cork and lookI agree with much of Andy's post above and certainly wouldn't support any of the reported proposals.
I have to say that I find it very frustrating that the SVR campaign puts so little emphasis on demanding that our government deals with the underlying reasons for the high mortgage rates. I don't mean to insult anybody but it seems very childish to me to simply demand reductions to SVR rates and I suspect this contributed to the disappointing turnout at the meeting.
And as for the carpetbagging politicians...
Its on record as saying it won't. ..are we all supposed to be good Europeans and continue to subsidize those on trackers.
Again, spot on analysis by Andy>
But your 'thought' re:
..should carry the proviso that all these mortgages should -
A) become non-recourse
B) with no short fall chased upon voluntary sale and
c) credit rating not affected.
If the above (or a variation thereof) is not included in a 'fix the repos' solution..
.. then I and thousands of others will happily reside where we are until the banks 'engage' with us, under our 'terms'.
Folk might not like it (and the above proviso may sound like 'a pipe dream'); but in any discussion, in any arrangement (negotiated or forced) -
..our families come first,
not our neighbours,
not the state and
NEVER the banks.
I agree with much of Andy's post above and certainly wouldn't support any of the reported proposals.
I have to say that I find it very frustrating that the SVR campaign puts so little emphasis on demanding that our government deals with the underlying reasons for the high mortgage rates. I don't mean to insult anybody but it seems very childish to me to simply demand reductions to SVR rates and I suspect this contributed to the disappointing turnout at the meeting.
And as for the carpetbagging politicians...
I think that is a fundamental issue.
SVR customers are not subsidising trackers but rather they are subsidising people failing to pay the mortgage.
.
I have been very clear that we need to deal with deliberate defaulters in a tough manner. In fact, after the meeting, a guy approached me to say that he was not going to attend the meeting, as he saw me as a spokesman for the banks. He checked with a friend, who confirmed the guy's view of me.
And I have argued that mortgage rates at higher LTVs do need to be higher because of the additional risk due to our failure to tackle defaulters. But I would reckon should only account for a maximum of 0.5% more.
There should be no premium at all for 60% LTV mortgages. The cheapest mortgage in Ireland is about 3.5%. The average across the Eurozone is around 2.09%. If that is the average, the rate for low loan to value mortgages is probably down around 1.5%. So even after removing the risk, borrowers are still paying 2% more than they should be.
Irish banks are fleecing customers because they can. They would stop fleecing some customers if there were competition in the market place. But we have been waiting for a new entrant and it has not happened. So we must change the legislation to give the CB the power to control interest rates. Hopefully, they will never have to use it. But if Danske were to raise the rate to 10% tomorrow, there is absolutely nothing anyone could do about it.
Brendan
In Spain they actually have repossessions, at over 300,000 at least since the crisis began....in Ireland we have a couple of hundred per year, most voluntary. That is why we're a couple of % higher than them.Lets take an international comparison Spain . They have plenty repossesion there too and a lot of unsellable properties. From what I can see they charge Euribor plus between 1 to 2% This means that we are still almost 2% higher. Sure repossessions have an impact but the percentage of those in trackers vs arrears is substantially higher.
It simply goes back to a cartel charging these rates because there is no competition, they can and we are seen to be easy prey.
I'm not sure why you find this so complicated. Using hypothetical figures..............I have 50k from the sale of a previous house. 200K for purchase of new house. Stamp duty is 38K so the actual cost of the house is 238K as opposed to 200K . If there was no stamp duty My mortgage would only have been 38k less as I would have used the money to pay off some of the house price . I am paying at SVR so the actual cost of stamp duty is much higher .If I am reading the first sentence of your post correctly you are saying that the amount of the stamp duty was included in your mortgage. If that's correct then, yes, you did borrow the stamp duty.
Frankly, if you rely on cso 'average' figures for your information , you need to reconsider your position in responding to posts such as mine. The pension levy and USC alone account for a 15% deduction from my wages, changes to PRSI and changes in tax bands/ credits and 4 pay cuts, along with a new property charge easily bring the take home pay to half of what it was.Frankly, I am struggling to believe that the combination of public sector pay reductions, pension related deductions, universal social charges and income tax changes would have reduced your household disposable income by half. That scale of a reduction in disposable income is certainly not reflected in CSO statistics.
You are quite correct that I have no personal experience of disability services and was unaware that there had been cuts to publicly available treatments in this area. You might find this shocking but I'm not at all surprised that a bank official was similarly unaware of this fact.
No that's not the reality, they are charities funded by Irish tax payers. I had no responsibility to fund banks and investors but I was not given a choice. So please do not discuss the wellbeing of my family and pretend that we have a normal banking sectorI obviously sympathise with your circumstances but banks are not charities and have no responsibilty to the wellbeing of your family. That might sound harsh but that's the reality.
Good quote.Alfred Adler equated social interest with a sense of identification and empathy with others ...'to see with the eyes of another, to hear with the ears of another, to feel with the heart of another.' The degree to which we successfully share with others and are concerned with the welfare of others is a measure of mental health.' (Sherman & Dinkmeyer, 1987).
Sarenco
I'm not sure why you find this so complicated. Using hypothetical figures..............I have 50k from the sale of a previous house. I need a mortgage of 200K for purchase of new house. Stamp duty is 38K so the actual cost of the house is 238K as opposed to 200K . If there was no stamp duty My mortgage would only have been 162K . I am paying at SVR so the actual cost of stamp duty is much higher .
I didn't borrow, I used money from the sale of a house, I would have used the money to reduce the cost of the mortgage, so yes this is an additional cost for usNot necessarily. If there was no stamp duty (as was the case with new build houses in the past) the purchase price would simply have been higher (as was the case with new build houses during that time). I've no problem with the fact that you borrowed to pay your stamp duty but it's not correct to say that there is an annual cost of servicing your stamp duty - there is an ongoing cost of servicing your loan.
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