Brendan Burgess
Founder
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Updated 16.30 pm 8 December to reflect PTSB's decision to pass on a rate cut of 0.71% and AIB's decision not to pass on the rate cut.
The ECB has reduced interest rates by 3% since June 2007, but PTSB has passed on cuts of only 0.25% on its variable rate mortgages.
PTSB, a state owned bank, is charging its customers 5.19% which is 2.19% more than AIB, another state owned bank, is charging its customers.
The ECB rate has fallen by 3%
AIB and the local authorities have passed on 2.2%
But PTSB has passed on only 0.25%
But new customers borrowing less than 80% of the value of the house pay only 3.7%
In January 2012, PTSB reduced the rate for new business only to 3.7%.
Existing customers cannot avail of this rate even if they have an LTV of less than 80%.
If PTSB can lend profitably at 3.7%, they must be making huge profits from the borrowers paying 5.2%
Full details
What is the difference in cost between an AIB loan and a PTSB loan
On a €300,000 loan over 30 years, Karen will pay €144,397 more than John. This is almost twice as much.
Why is Karen paying twice the interest that John is paying?
Ask Minister Noonan - I don't know
Why does Karen not just switch to AIB?
In a normally functioning market, PTSB could not get away with this, as Karen would switch.
Because she is probably in heavy negative equity and most of the banks are no longer taking switches anyway.
But doesn't PTSB have to compensate for the losses they are making on trackers?
This makes no sense. The PTSB has extensive borrowings from the ECB/Central Bank at 1.25%, so they are even making money on their trackers.
Even if they were making losses on their trackers, there is no reason for the SVR customers to subsidise these rates through predatory rates.
But the same arguments can be made anyway about AIB and EBS. Their SVR customers are not subsidising their trackers.
"But I am on a fixed rate, I don't need to worry"
But what happens when your fixed rate ends? You will go onto the LTV rate which is 6%, so you do need to worry.
How many borrowers are affected?
There are no official figures, but here are my best estimates
In total, there are around 700,000 customers with home loans worth €115 billion ( Central Bank arrears stats)
PTSB has a home loan book of €19 billion, so they have around 115,000 customers. (Central Bank PCAR )
60% are on trackers. (a figure widely used, not sure of its source)
I would guess that 20% are on fixed rates
which leaves around 20% on SVR and LTV
which gives around 20,000 home owners on SVRs now
with a total of 40,000 exposed to them over time.
What should Minister Noonan do?
The Minister used his powers of persuasion very effectively to encourage AIB to reduce their rate to 3%. He should use the same powers to reduce the PTSB rate to 3% above the ECB rate. At 3% above the ECB rate, each mortgage would still be very profitable for PTSB. PTSB variable rate customers are not asking for the state to subsidise their mortgages.
What is the effect of the higher PTSB rates on arrears?
There are no statistics available for the differences in arrears between AIB and PTSB, but one could assume that someone with the same loan who has to come up with an extra €6,000 a year is more likely to be in arrears.
The ECB has reduced interest rates by 3% since June 2007, but PTSB has passed on cuts of only 0.25% on its variable rate mortgages.
PTSB, a state owned bank, is charging its customers 5.19% which is 2.19% more than AIB, another state owned bank, is charging its customers.
The ECB rate has fallen by 3%
AIB and the local authorities have passed on 2.2%
But PTSB has passed on only 0.25%
But new customers borrowing less than 80% of the value of the house pay only 3.7%
In January 2012, PTSB reduced the rate for new business only to 3.7%.
Existing customers cannot avail of this rate even if they have an LTV of less than 80%.
If PTSB can lend profitably at 3.7%, they must be making huge profits from the borrowers paying 5.2%
Full details
What is the difference in cost between an AIB loan and a PTSB loan
On a €300,000 loan over 30 years, Karen will pay €144,397 more than John. This is almost twice as much.
Why is Karen paying twice the interest that John is paying?
Ask Minister Noonan - I don't know
Why does Karen not just switch to AIB?
In a normally functioning market, PTSB could not get away with this, as Karen would switch.
Because she is probably in heavy negative equity and most of the banks are no longer taking switches anyway.
But doesn't PTSB have to compensate for the losses they are making on trackers?
This makes no sense. The PTSB has extensive borrowings from the ECB/Central Bank at 1.25%, so they are even making money on their trackers.
Even if they were making losses on their trackers, there is no reason for the SVR customers to subsidise these rates through predatory rates.
But the same arguments can be made anyway about AIB and EBS. Their SVR customers are not subsidising their trackers.
"But I am on a fixed rate, I don't need to worry"
But what happens when your fixed rate ends? You will go onto the LTV rate which is 6%, so you do need to worry.
How many borrowers are affected?
There are no official figures, but here are my best estimates
In total, there are around 700,000 customers with home loans worth €115 billion ( Central Bank arrears stats)
PTSB has a home loan book of €19 billion, so they have around 115,000 customers. (Central Bank PCAR )
60% are on trackers. (a figure widely used, not sure of its source)
I would guess that 20% are on fixed rates
which leaves around 20% on SVR and LTV
which gives around 20,000 home owners on SVRs now
with a total of 40,000 exposed to them over time.
What should Minister Noonan do?
The Minister used his powers of persuasion very effectively to encourage AIB to reduce their rate to 3%. He should use the same powers to reduce the PTSB rate to 3% above the ECB rate. At 3% above the ECB rate, each mortgage would still be very profitable for PTSB. PTSB variable rate customers are not asking for the state to subsidise their mortgages.
What is the effect of the higher PTSB rates on arrears?
There are no statistics available for the differences in arrears between AIB and PTSB, but one could assume that someone with the same loan who has to come up with an extra €6,000 a year is more likely to be in arrears.
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