Brendan Burgess
Founder
- Messages
- 54,416
Hi Sunny
Have they lost a lot of market share?
To whom? Avant?
Brendan
Last I heard the two big banks were writing 7 out of every 10 new mortgages.
The problem for PTSB compared to other banks is that the capital they have to set aside for mortgages is still hampered by the crash because the model they use is using inputs from that period. I heard something about them changing model but that requires significant work with ECB and I didn't think it was due to finished until next year.
But is that not what you would expect anyway?
35% each BoI and AIB
20% ptsb
10% Avant?
I didn't think the interest rate they offer the loans at is directly linked to the RWA / capital required? My understanding is the Capital ratio they are required to maintain would drive how much lending they can do? The current model is inefficient thus lowers the amount they can lend, but if they increase the capital base or improve the model they can lend more?
Assuming cost of funding is the same for all the banks, the margin charged on top just hits revenue and ultimately profit?
Mr Crowley said it wasn't all that long ago that PTSB had just a 2% of the market share."
So the big two are aligned in trying to move out the smaller one.Yeah they have lost significant market share over past year especially with FTBs. BOI have been extremely aggressive with pricing for first time buyers as have AIB in recent months. Last I heard the two big banks were writing 7 out of every 10 new mortgages.
Capital is expensive. If they have to retain more capital on a mortgage, they need to charge more to pay for it. It's just about how much they can lend. They have to make a return on capital. If PTSB have to retain 15% capital on every mortgage compared to 10% with BOI, it means they have less capital generating a return. What capital they have generating a return, needs to earn more to compensate. So basically need to charge customers higher rates.
The rate they charge is a business decision though set against their ROE targets. Agree it makes it a more capital intensive business vs others but perhaps others may have capital intensive markets businesses etc.
My assumption is that this is a calculated business risk on the basis that the new model when it goes live will allow them to free up capital. Perhaps they are giving up some of their net interest margins to win back market share.
So the big two are aligned in trying to move out the smaller one.
I'm too long around and have seen too much from those two banks to ever believe they compete with each other. One of my very first posts on here was about how aligned they are.I wouldn't say aligned. They are competing. Unfortunately that means there is a large risk that PTSB will get squeezed. Hence their desire to diversify their loan book by chasing SME and asset finance business.
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