Poland can be tricky. On the one hand, you have huge amount of people who want to buy their first place, on the other hand you have prices that have risen too fast, comparing to people earnings. At the moment average net salary is enough to buy 0.3-0.4sqm of the apartment in the most of the cities (exculding Warsaw and probably Wroclaw where it's even less).
Next year, economy will slow down a bit and 2010 is a mistery.
Banks aggravated their policies for new mortgages, especially the ones in CHF (which are the cheapest option if you consider the monthly repayment as a most important factor).
One, base on that, could say: "Road to the south by 30-60% very soon", but due to global crisis, most of the developers stopped starting new investments or change the intrest from home market to office market.
That means in 2 years the supply of new appartments should dry up a bit and it should hold the prices near a current level minus 10-15% maybe.
As I said it can go one way or another, pretty hard to say atm. if it chose to go south, well...I will make myself ready to buy an appartment or two when the price is good
9k in Poznan...can't see it to be honest. Even Warsaw is cheaper than that atm, so I can't see where the OP came up with this number from
Poznan is a good placeto invest, as the city grows nicely, but it will be hit by the recession like the rest of the country. Have to backup Emprormc that 7k is more realistic evaluation.
I have recently sold the appartment in small town in northern east (Olsztyn) 160k of people - paid 163.000PLN 2 years ago(44sq m - 3200PLN/sqm+underground parking), sold for 220.000 4 weeks ago. A year ago I would got around 240.000.
From what I can observe, prices since last year, dropped around 10-15% throughout a country. You will always bring the starting price down by that amount if you want to buy something atm.
Nevertheless, whoever bought anything in years before 2007 is a very happy man. Polish market was a fantastic place to invest in property in that time.
If only I came to Ireland 1 year earlier...
Just my 2 cents on Polish market.
Sorry for any grammar and spelling mistakes. English is not my first language.