Unless the payment is very large, the difference will be small and very difficult to predict. You can ask your CC provider what the rate will be, but they'll only provide an "advisory" rate for today. The actual rate will be the one in force when the vendor's charge is actually posted to your account. It turns out paypal will give you their current rate online (My account/profile/my money/currencies/calculate), but I guess they'll have the same variability the CC provider will have regarding spot rate vs rate on the day the charge is posted.
All this to the side, there is one important feature that CC's provide that paypal is not as good at - fraud protection. paypal give very tight time lines for reporting fraudulent charges, are more restrictive in what they consider fraud, and are in my experience a good bit less customer friendly to deal with. My CC provider has always been very upfront and informative about potential dodgy charges, and dealt with the small number I've noticed before they did efficiently.