Links to informed expert comment on The Coronavirus

“Experts warn that their findings paint a grim picture for the colder weather, when it is thought the disease may re-emerge”.

From where is it going to re-emerge ?. It’s not as if it has gone away or likely to go away any time soon.
 
Study tracks spread of virus on poorly ventilated virus beyond 2 metre distance...

A person on a poorly ventilated Chinese bus infected nearly two dozen other passengers with coronavirus even though many were not sitting close by, according to a study published today.

The scientists managed to map out where the other passengers sat, and also test them for the virus, with 23 of 68 passengers subsequently confirmed as infected on the same bus.

Researchers also noted the air conditioning simply recirculated the air inside the bus, which likely contributed to spreading of the virus.

Journey occured before mask wearing became common.

 
very dubious and untrustworthy and raises a few issues. Firstly it said this bus journey took place in January but when in January? The Wuhan lockdown began on 23 January and the Chinese informed us that they uniquely and successfully contained the virus within Wuhan in one of the most densely populated countries on the planet. However the city Ningbo where this bus was travelling is 1000km from Wuhan and they are now telling us that 23 of the bus passengers subsequently tested positive for corona virus. It was a 50 minute bus trip so the journey did not start in Wuhan that is inconsistent with their claims that there was no spread of virus outside of Wuhan , where did the 23 infected passengers go ? Presumably they expect us to believe that straight away they realised the danger of corona virus and managed to track all these passengers and their contacts while at the same time locking down Wuhan. I DONT BELIEVE IT
 
The bus journey was 19 january... the patient zero was in contact with someone from Wuhan.
Details of the track and trace of passengers here:
 
Study into why covid-19 is more infectious than SARS.

A receptor called neuropilin-1 gives the novel coronavirus a leg-up in infecting our tissues. This particular protein is relatively abundant on cells lining the nasal cavity, making it a piece of cake for the virus to establish a home inside our bodies, raise a virus family, and then spread to a new host.

 
Inflight transmission of Covid-19 may have resulted in the infection of 59 people across Ireland – including 13 passengers on the same long-distance flight – according to a new study. The outbreak occurred despite low levels of occupancy on the flight from the Middle East to Ireland during the summer, a study published in a European journal has found... The study – which does not identify the airline or departure point – found that the virus spread on the plane despite only 49 (17%) of the plane’s 283 seats being occupied.
 
Typical mouthwash such as Listerine shown to reduce viral load in mouths of infected patients, may de-risk dental treatments and be of benefit in situations where caring for an infected person in same household.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Leo
Begs the question, are all variants of the corona virus that are currently floating around known as covid 19.
 
Begs the question, are all variants of the corona virus that are currently floating around known as covid 19.
There are lots of Coronaviruses. Of the multiple different viruses known collectively as the Common Cold 4 are Corona Viruses. They have been around for hundreds, and in some cases thousands, of years. As Covid19 is an RNA virus (as is the case with all Corona Viruses) it is less likely than other DNA viruses to mutate into a new (Novel) disease. Therefore while there is genetic variation meaningful mutation is unlikely. The fewer cases the less likely that is to happen and, or course, the converse is true.
 
From the Irish Times:
Ireland eliminated Covid-19 variants circulating in the first wave through lockdown measures and the second wave was seeded by variants imported from abroad, a new scientific report shows.
The study, comparing virus types in the first and second waves from hospitalised cases of the disease seen at four hospitals, found that an “effective” first lockdown led to the disappearance of first-wave viruses. The second wave began from variants of the virus linked to those found outside Ireland, “suggesting multiple introductions through travel during the summer of 2020”.

 
I thought the "second wave" was in autumn 2020 and the third wave in late 2020/early 2021?
Having said that, the wave in autumn 2020 was relatively benign, so if you ignore that...
 
On Sky News now Chris Whitty , England's CMO is saying that "all the modelling suggests that there will be a surge in Covid-19 once the UK opens up"
Additionally he said that there could be an additional 30,000 deaths.

He wasn't specific on when this would happen saying "it could be Summer or Autumn ".

Not the most optimistic news unfortunately.
 
I heard the 30,000 figure on the Boris provided his timeline.
IIRC that’s the expected death toll between between now and 18 months
 
I heard the 30,000 figure on the Boris provided his timeline.
IIRC that’s the expected death toll between between now and 18 months
From what I saw there wasn't a timeline, and the Head of Modelling, Vallance said that once restrictions are lifted the UK it will be difficult to know what the effects will be on transmission etc.

It's curious that with their vaccine rollout going so well they would be so cautious.
 
Back
Top