Average Industrial Wage doesn't take Social Transfers into account and they are very high in Ireland so that's no use as a measure. Modified GNI is probably the best measure. The reality is that inflation is causing problems across the world."Using GNI* as a measure of national income, Ireland appears to have an above average standard of living while, on the basis of household and public consumption, Ireland has somewhat lower standard of living, partly because of the high rate of saving in Ireland."
This is just from the abstract, but he is using GNI* as a measure of national income rather than the average industrial wage, but nobody else uses GNI* in Europe it is a statistic invented by the CSO because they can't use GDP because of the distorting effects of multinationals and they don't like using GNP probably because the figure is too low for them. Therefore the fact that he uses GNI* as measure already discredits the whole report. Surely he should be using average industrial wage and then seeing how that wage compares to the rest of Europe in terms of buying power and the standard of living that can be achieved by that average industrial in comparison to our EU compatriots. At least that would be meaningful but he probably would not get the answer he is looking for
they can't use GDP because of the distorting effects of multinationals and they don't like using GNP probably because the figure is too low for them. Therefore the fact that he uses GNI* as measure already discredits the whole report
To address your last point , yes I very much stand by what I said, the government is getting this windfall taxation because of the huge profits generated by a few big mutinationals but if that corporation tax take is to fall back it is also going to hit jobs and investment because then those companies will be retrenching even if they are still very profitable. Therefore I think he is wrong in his assumption that you can strip out a big chunk of corporation tax and that nothing else in the economy gets hit. Looking back at the corporation tax receipts history in Ireland they have never fallen except in 2009 , yet look what happened the irish economy it fell off a cliff. Therefore any fall back in corporation tax means the world is in a recession because these are global companies and Ireland is reaping the tax from these global profits.I haven't read the ESRI report but from the summary in the Indo it is not referring to FDI but to windfall corporation taxes that have next to nothing to do with employment or economic activity in Ireland.
Here is the report: https://www.esri.ie/system/files/publications/QEC2023SUM_SA_FitzGerald_0.pdf
So we just accept what these guys say as "gospel" because we are not esri economists , GNI* is a statistic conjured up here because the ESRI and CSO were embarrased about their statistics being labelled as "leprauchan economics" by their international peers. Nobody else uses this statistic so how is it relevant or useful for comparing incomes to other EU countries when its just an irish statistic.GNI* is widely accepted by economists of all hues as preferable, if not ideal, and the rationale for GNI* is well laid out (eg, https://assets.gov.ie/4910/181218123252-71a2c297f26b419fa3696d7349e3e788.pdf, https://www.cso.ie/en/interactivezone/statisticsexplained/nationalaccountsexplained/modifiedgni/).
If you want to "discredit" the report you might begin by addressing the facts, figures and reasoning in it. Or indeed presenting a factual argument against GNI*. That would be more credible than populist rhetoric.
Why would that be? The windfall corporation tax arise from multinational choosing Ireland as a tax base to locate profits actually generated by real economic activity elsewhere in the world. That tax is very mobile and as the OECD agreement takes effect they may (or may not) shift to other locations for tax purpose, while more of their profits will become taxable in the countries in which they were generated rather than in Ireland. The windfall element is not related to their economic activity in Ireland and in itself should have no impact on Irish jobs and investment.To address your last point , yes I very much stand by what I said, the government is getting this windfall taxation because of the huge profits generated by a few big mutinationals but if that corporation tax take is to fall back it is also going to hit jobs and investment because then those companies will be retrenching even if they are still very profitable
John Fitzgerald (have they not got anyone else in the esri) basically saying that we have higher living standards than eu average even if you strip out corporation tax windfalls.
No, that wouldn't be useful at all because, as I've previously pointed out, it doesn't take social transfers into account.Surely it would be more useful and insightful to compare the average salary in Ireland with our EU compatriots to see how our standard of living compares, how much housing, how much goods and services, how much healthcare, how many meals out or concert tickets or airline tickets, that sort of thing.
But those are his assumptions when you factor in our high savings rate then that would provide a cushion but that's just an assumption. He assumes if the corporation tax take would fall away well then people would just spend their savings to compensate. My point is that his assumption is wrong because in that scenario people would be even less likely to spend their savings. He didn't pose the question why are our savings rates so high and why would people suddenly start spending their savings if the economy went down that didn't happen during the financial crisis, people horded their money then, they didn't go out and buy the houses at 50% discount in 2011.No, he is not "basically saying" that at all.
He is saying that when we factor in our comparatively very high rate of savings then we have living standards above the EU average. He is saying that Irish consumption is lower than some comparators because people here are saving more than the average elsewhere - rather than because their real income is lower than those comparators.
And he is saying that even if the windfall corporation tax was to fall away in coming years then our high savings would provide a safety net to protect the economy.
I don't care about his status in esri, I think he is basically retired now anyway better to get new people with fresh thinking in there now
Maybe if I could get a sponsorship deal with Renault aswellA big opportunity looming there, Joe.
He's now writing opinion pieces for Irish Times and is a comment-tator in the Mejie generally.If he is retired, why are we still hearing from him?
Malta having recently been attached via the Kerch bridge.We are the only fully island country in Europe, so shouldn’t our prices be the highest?
It's the same for other countries but they have decided not to go with ridiculously high wind energy rates. We have made it too attractive for wind energy companies to profiteer but have loaded all the costs of the associated infrastructure onto the consumer via standing charges and high unit rates. Much more of the costs need to be borne by the wind energy companies themselves, they are the ones that are reaping the windfall energy prices without bearing any of the realistic costs associated with the grid and producing electricity when no wind is blowing. Eamon Ryan ruled out windfall taxes on energy companies because they would hit the wind energy providers the most .Delivering renewable power (wind and solar) requires a different sort of grid to the one we have now so much of that power is wasted, making it more expensive. The cost of making the grid fit for purpose is high and won't be done any time soon; politicians know that we won't pay for water so we won't pay for that.
Exorbitant cost of over-the-counter drugs is a good example. Gov. could very easily fix this but instead keeps caving in to vested interests linked to cartel-like structures. Same for energy, insurance, GP costs, interest rates, etc. etc. Deep ideological hostility to any kind of consumer protection.Own-brand paracetamol is for sale at 29p in UK supermarkets, equivalent to about 35c
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