By asking questions of people would it not be possible to find some common denominator?
They can't all be front line staff or people in nursing homes can they?
If they are going to extend restrictions further this week (which seems to be what they are hinting at) then I think the public need to know where these infections are coming from.
I think it is now important that we are told where the source of these infections are.
They are publishing tracing breakdown. As of Friday, 63% of cases are classified as community transmission where they are unable to identify the source.
But is that not 63% of all cases since day 1?
It is, but you just need to look at the data from previous releases to compare. For example, as of March 30th, community transfer accounted for 60% of cases. International travel accounted for 19% back then, down to 4% now. So as expected, community transfer is still a significant factor.
Over 700 new cases yesterday. We have been in lockdown for about 6 weeks now. Do we have a breakdown of the 700 new cases in so far as, how many of these people have been cocooning, how many are in lockdown, how many are still leaving house to go to work etc?
I would love to know where these people are picking up their infections from.
Community transfer for all cases up to the 30th March was 60%. Community Transfer was 63% of all cases up to yesterday despite the surge in testing since the 30th March. That means that community transfer of the virus has pretty much disappeared. So out of the over 700 cases yesterday, where are they coming from? They must be nearly 100% nursing home/residential care and health workers/contacts. The number of untraceable cases must be miniscule. So what is the logic behind them saying that they can't lift restrictions. I am not saying that they are wrong but they must be seeing data that we are not seeing and they are not sharing. At the start of this, it was about buying time for the health service and avoid a surge. That has been done. If there is another argument to be made, they should make it. Instead they seem to be pushing a narrative that they can't lift any restrictions because people haven't adhered to the existing ones. The data doesn't back that up. And I think that is what is beginning to annoy people and is leading people to push the boundaries. I have adhered to everything and will continue to do it but I need more than State of the Nation Addresses from Leo and daily briefings throwing numbers at us.
That means that community transfer of the virus has pretty much disappeared.
They must be nearly 100% nursing home/residential care and health workers/contacts.
The number of untraceable cases must be miniscule.
They are not "pushing a narrative". The problem is that at least 50% of cases are asymptomatic or very mild. Those who don't realise they have it will transmit to someone who has a 50% chance of not even noticing. And so on. The biggest issue is that a very large % of people who contract the virus will not suffer or know, and therefore be unable to protect others by self-isolating. That's why there is such pressure worldwide for comprehensive testing, that would identify asymptomatic cases that would infect many others but never become sick themselves.
No, the opposite in fact.
Someone residing of working in a home alongside confirmed cases will be recorded as local transmission. So closer to 0% than 100%.
Unfortunately not, it's currently the most likely means of contraction.
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