Hi Martin77
I appreciate the response on this. I perhaps wasn`t very clear in the details I had described. All the costs/income associated with the property have been/will be in EUR:
-rental income
-Price of property
-local costs(solicitors fees, mortgage bank fees etc.)
I also expect to sell the property in EUR. This is the main reason for considering changing the mortgage to a EUR denominated one- all the future gains over mortgage value will not be affected by adverse currency movements. Also, I expect Hungary to adopt the EUR some time in the future.
The problem is at the current time, the CHF has strengthened against the Euro over the past 18mths, so if I converted to EUR now the EUR debt will be larger. Because of this, I think I`ll hold the CHF debt it for a while until hopefully the Eurozone picks up again, and the EUR strengthens against the CHF.
I`m in no rush to sell, and expect to hold onto the property for the medium to long term. Does anyone agree or disagree with my points above?
Maybe I was being too subtle in my reply, but that's exactly the problem I was trying to point out. How do you force everyone to accept transactions in Euros at today's exchange rate so that you do not have a hidden currency risk? For purchasing off plan, I can imagine there are developers who'd take on the currency risk for you and sign a contract priced in Euros. Same with accountants and other financial service providers. I can even imagine foreign companies and tenants paying rent in Euros. But for selling a 2nd hand property at some indeterminate date in the future? I'm really not so sure how you'd achieve that hedge.Neilgarv,
For example, say the Forint depreciated by 50% against the Euro, do you expect to be able to sell your property for twice the price of the identical one next door??
Sure. I understand that. But the OP is still running a currency risk on the sale price of his property until that EUR-HUF exchange rate is really fixed and they start the formal conversion process. As Timbo pointed out, the neighbouring house will continue to be priced in HUF until the day Hungary adopts the Euro. And the mortgage debt would already be in Euros. Hungary certainly will use the Euro one day (they have no opt out clause). But it still isn't clear when they'll do it, and at exactly what exchange rate they'll convert. You say 3-4 years, but that could shift either way. IMVHO The OP has little choice but to accept an implicit XXX-HUF currency rate risk if he wants to invest in property in Hungary as a foreigner. I think most people will agree that in the meantime the currency risk will not go to zero, but that it's still much less risky if the OP continues his approach of pricing as much as possible in a single currency like the Euro and getting other people to take the risks, rather than running transactions in 4 currencies including HUF GBP EUR & CHF and taking the risk himself. But it is debatable and pretty opaque as to what will really happen to the EUR-HUF rate.My understanding was that the poster was planning to hold onto his apartment for at least 3-4 years, by which time, Hungary will be using the Euro and therefore, the sale price would also be in EUR. Certainly for the time being, it's very possible to pay accountancy and legal fees in EUR. Rents are also frequently paid in EUR, sometimes even by local Hungarian tenants.
Maybe I was being too subtle in my reply, but that's exactly the problem I was trying to point out. How do you force everyone to accept transactions in Euros at today's exchange rate so that you do not have a hidden currency risk?
For purchasing off plan, I can imagine there are developers who'd take on the currency risk for you and sign a contract priced in Euros. Same with accountants and other financial service providers. I can even imagine foreign companies and tenants paying rent in Euros. But for selling a 2nd hand property at some indeterminate date in the future? I'm really not so sure how you'd achieve that hedge.
Maybe the very best hedge of all is simply not to invest in any assets in a currency that you can't afford to keep very long term...... which in the OP's case might mean sticking to GBP investments and forgetting foreign property altogether.The best you can do is identify where and by how much you might be exposed to adverse outcomes as the exchange rate fluctuate.
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