The possibility of a bank failure is now only half a step away.
The bailout boys are coming to town tomorrow, if a bailout deal is agreed it may not cover the bank depositors. It probably will, but but the possibility exists that it wont. Unlike Greece, the Irish banks are bust. So unless the bailout specifically provides funds for depositors, savings will be lost.
Given our disfunctional political situation a bailout might not be agreed, then I cannot see how a bank collapse could be avoided.
If that happens a saver with a foreign owned bank and their govts support would be better off than a saver with an Irish institution, but still not a good position to be in.
Deposits abroad seem a much preferable option.
MMCLO wonders how the euro will fare. Well a Euro in your hand is a claim on the economys of the Eurozone countries, which is still worth something. The markets have driven up the value of the Euro against the Dollar and sterling (from 67p to 84p about 25%) since the crises began.
If Spain and Italy collapsed, and that is being very nervous, I suspect that either they would be forced out of the Euro, or Germany and its solvent neighbours would leave. Then a deposit in say Holland would be converted to new Dutch Kroner, which might be worth quite a bit.
Nearer in time, Ireland might be forced out of the Euro. Then at least savers in Ireland would get repaid in new Irish money, which would still buy a loaf of bread but pertol would look very expensive.
All these discussions seem to me to based on the idea that the future will be much like the past and nothing will change dramatically. Things can change dramatically.
Today Ireland has an incomparably higher standard of living than many other countries in the world. We have no automatic right to this and unless we fix our economy we will not continue to enjoy our current living standards. I will stop there before i get too philosophical