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That's true on the day of the transaction - but that doesn't mean that the market price will hold. We have of course seen huge falls in property prices already, and some people have a legitimate view that the market will still fall further.It doesn't matter what you or economists or anyone else thinks about the housing market. If I am selling an apartment with a mortage of €250,000 for €220,000 and I find a buyer willing to pay that price, then that is the market price or the true value. This product simply allows that transaction to take place. It doesn't put an artificial price on the property.
That's true on the day of the transaction - but that doesn't mean that the market price will hold. We have of course seen huge falls in property prices already, and some people have a legitimate view that the market will still fall further.
This kind of mortgage is further interference in the market, and will prop up prices by encouraging and supporting transactions that wouldn't otherwise happen at all, for a number of years.
And that's my concern. The negative equity has moved, and may well have grown, depending on the size of the trade-up deal and the size of the market drop. And if everything else stays stable, they may not have huge issues.I admit it is a problem if the house I buy plummets in price but at least this time hopefully I am in a family home that is big enough to support a family and not in a one bed apartment.
And that's my concern. The negative equity has moved, and may well have grown, depending on the size of the trade-up deal and the size of the market drop. And if everything else stays stable, they may not have huge issues.
But what happens when one partner loses their job, or realises that working with two kids just isn't worth it, or the couple split up?
But it is not just about the impact on them. As we say from the last boom, giving too much money to people to buy houses is just unsustainable. This causes problems for everyone else who is seeking to buy or rent at that price too.
That's what this mortgage product is. A loan to cover the negative equity.
One of the reasons why people in negative equity cannot sell is that they need the banks permission if they can't pay off the entire outstanding mortgage.
If people were in a position to get unsecured debt to cover negative equity they would have been doing so already in order to move. Fact is that the vast majority of people are not in a financially secure enough situation in order to obtain such a loan.
Creating a 'Negative Equity Mortgage' product with some fancy justifications and underwritings is disaster waiting to happen. Are people really that short-sighted to understand that excessive debt levels caused this mess in the first place?!?!?!
... But the product itself is not bad. It's the use of the product that causes problems.
I think the thread is beginning to run away with itself and discuss something that does not exist - STB material?... This product is basically a mixture of secured and unsecured credit. ...
I think the thread is beginning to run away with itself and discuss something that does not exist - STB material?
Right now there is no "product", merely a facility sometimes made available on a case-by-case basis by two specific lenders, as detailed at the start of the thread.
My point being that it should not be a product. As I said earlier, if you want to trade up, but are in negative, reduce the negative equity first.I don't understand your point. This product is basically a mixture of secured and unsecured credit. The bank is only secured to 100% of the value of the property. If they give out a 125% mortgage, they are effectively giving a 25% unsecured loan.
So, the consensus seems to be that:
- This option shouldn't be packaged and marketed as a "product", but
- There's nothing wrong with making this option available to certain people in certain circumstances (i.e. negative equity, low LTV on desired property, secure jobs and low repayment to net salary ratio).
I think that this would be pure lunacy to offer a product like that. I went with KBC for my mortgage and even though it was only twice my salary, it took me an age to get it with all their checks etc. They seemed very careful about protecting themselves. I'm glad they were like that now.
Even if this "negative equity" mortgage is introduced it will be so strictly underwritten that only a handful of people will qualify and these will more than likely be professionals with prospects of an ever increasing income. I'm thinking along the lines of a couple of doctors who are in NE to the tune of 50k but also have decent savings that will be usedto cover the stamp duty involved in trading up.
You're very optimistic there and assuming that banks have learnt anything at all. This is exactly the same way that 100% mortgages were introduced. First aimed at the highly paid or public sector employees, but it didn't take long for it to become a common product.
There is a bit of spinning going on here. There is no absolute drop in the negative equity. In the example you give, you are rolling in savings into the equation, but the savings are there all along. In fact, any savings will probably go on the stamp duty and will not help reduce the negative position at all. There may be a relative drop in the negative equity, but the risk of increased negative equity is real, if the market continues to fall.If I have €20K saved, a tracker mortgage, negative equity of €60K and I want to trade up then there is no way I am going to pay down my negative equity with the €20K if I cannot use it to trade up. €20K on a tracker is the cheapest finance in Ireland. However, if I can move my reduced Negative Equity to a new house on a 20 year mortgage on a house which I don't intend selling then I will probably do it. The bank ends us with less negative equity in the loan in absolute terms and relative to the value of the bigger property. They also get rid of a tracker. The market becomes more liquid as I sell and buy a house and so is more likely to reach its nadir. Also, a liquid market allows banks to liquidate and resolve problem mortgages.
Anyone who thinks a mortgage product like this could inspire bubble behaviour is a tad out of touch with the national psyche. As Galbraith pointed out in his book on the crash of 1929, memory of loss is the greatest protection against bubble behaviour. Anyone who thinks these products would create an artificial floor by lowering the value at which houses are sold is seriously confused. In 2007 people were stuck in 2005. Now it's 2010 and people are stuck in 2008. The market has not reached the bottom but it still makes sense for a lot of people to buy and sell their homes.
Anyone who thinks it won't inspire bubble behaviour is deluded or has failed to learn the lessons of recent history.... Anyone who thinks a mortgage product like this could inspire bubble behaviour is a tad out of touch with the national psyche. ...
Galbraith's hypothesis was false when his book was published (South Sea Bubble 1720, Dutch Tulip Bulb Market Bubble 1637, etc, etc,) and nothing that has happened since has succeeded in validating it.... As Galbraith pointed out in his book on the crash of 1929, memory of loss is the greatest protection against bubble behaviour. ...
Of course paying down the debt will reduce negative equity.....There is no absolute drop in the negative equity. In the example you give, you are rolling in savings into the equation, but the savings are there all along. In fact, any savings will probably go on the stamp duty and will not help reduce the negative position at all. There may be a relative drop in the negative equity, but the risk of increased negative equity is real, if the market continues to fall....
What you describe as 'more liquid', I describe as 'people borrowing too much to buy houses they can't afford'. Your 'house that I don't intend selling' may well suddently need to be sold, when more kids arrive, or the job moves, or the job is lost, or the couple split etc.
You're very optimistic there and assuming that banks have learnt anything at all. This is exactly the same way that 100% mortgages were introduced. First aimed at the highly paid or public sector employees, but it didn't take long for it to become a common product.
Anyone who thinks it won't inspire bubble behaviour is deluded or has failed to learn the lessons of recent history.
Galbraith's hypothesis was false when his book was published (South Sea Bubble 1720, Dutch Tulip Bulb Market Bubble 1637, etc, etc,) and nothing that has happened since has succeeded in validating it.
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