ECB/RATE VIEW: Citigroup have changed their ECB rate call and now
say that they expect a November rate cut of unprecedented size. "A cut
of 100bps looks more likely than a cut of 75bps or 50bps", says
economist Jurgen Michels who attributes the change in rate call to "the
dramatic events in recent weeks, including the sharp fall in economic
confidence and inflation this week". Citigroup were previously
forecasting a 50bps rate cut. "However, if they cut by 'just' 50bps in
November, we would expect another cut by at least 50bps in December",
added Citigroup.