Article in The Budapest Times: Irish and UK investors giving up on Budapest

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Irish and UK property investors giving up on Budapest, says estate agent [broken link removed] Written by Robert Hodgson Monday, 05 November 2007

The divisional head of TIPP Ingatlan, an estate agency with several branches in the capital, says foreign investors are looking for ways to get out of the Budapest property market.
In an interview published on real estate website ingatlanok.hu, Tamás Takács said that many foreign investors in Hungary are having difficulty finding tenants for properties they have bought in Budapest. This is particularly problematic for those who financed their purchases with a mortgage, which they are now having to repay from their own pockets.

To compound the woes of the investors, the bulk of which are Irish and UK citizens, they have seen little capital appreciation as average house prices have barely increased in real terms over the past three years. This is despite extravagant claims to the contrary that are regularly made by companies marketing Hungarian real estate to foreign investors.

The problem for disappointed investors who want to get out of the market, as Takács says, is finding a buyer who is willing to pay prices as high as HUF 500-600 thousand (EUR 1,989-2,387) per square metre.

Despite great interest from foreign investors and a profusion of large developments, the Budapest property market is still driven primarily by domestic demand. The more expensive newly built flats are generally aimed at foreign buyers, but sufficient demand from tenants for such expensive rental properties simply does not exist.

Large price rises occurred between 1999 and 2003 and saw many early investors sitting on properties whose value doubled or even quadrupled. This led to the stampede to invest in Budapest, especially around the time of Hungary joining the EU in 2004. By that time, unfortunately, most people had already missed the boat. Takács believes that the price rise was driven by domestic demand, with home buyers taking advantage of mortgages - a relative novelty at the time - and government subsidies.

Schemes that covered mortgage interest, as well as offering cash incentives to first time buyers, have been cut back in the current climate of economic austerity as the government fights to reign in a calamitous budget deficit. Domestic buyers are now looking for cheaper property tor holding back, which has led to a slowdown on the market.
“If we apply normal market rules, then in times of oversupply such as that prevalent on the current Budapest market, it can still be worth buying,” said Takács. However, an investor should only consider doing so at present if he is prepared to think of making a return over a longer term of around ten years, he concluded.
 
This is a good summary of some elements of the market.

However, there is absolutely no new information here. In essence, I think it refers to those many Irish and UK investors who did little research and paid well over the odds around 2003/2004 - typically an overpriced District V property or an expensive new build.

Those who bought the right properties have had a lot less to worry about.

The Irish stampede ended around three years ago but since then, international buyers have continued to purchase, but usually with more care and in a more favourable market place.
 



23 Nov 2007 Hungary A.M.
The Q1-Q3 period saw 30.9 million foreigners visit Hungary, 4% more than in the same period last year.

Not much in terms of a visible turnaround for Hungary - but it is coming ...... 2009 onward boom times for Budapest ... as Ive said before.
 
Irish investors looking for ways to get out of Budapest...

Whilst many will have anecdotal tales of friends / family looking to exit emerging markets I'm still surprised to hear a vested interest on the ground publicly admitting the same.

Surprised this article hasn't received more attention here?
 
Surprised this article hasn't received more attention here?

I guess it comes down to the usual Speculators V Investors saga.

Any quick-win Speculator who bought in the past 3 years hasn't made a penny, and are naturally trying to exit, just like in Ireland.

This article relates solely to Speculators.

Investors on the other hand (of which I'm one), are after long-term value, and would have no interest in these articles (not yet anyhow).
 
Investors on the other hand (of which I'm one), are after long-term value

I've visited a few projects lately in BP XIII, IX, XIII, and I can say that there are not much 'long-term value' projects at this time.
80% of the projects I saw will be perceived soon as the new school commie-blocks: boring architecture & awful finishings.
 
I agree with you, UrbanDev! Many of the standard level new buildings in the city have low quality finishing and little or no design merit. Some will stand the test of time, but in my opinion, many won't. Investors frequently buy what's bright and clean rather than what will have long term value. I know of several projects built around 4-5 years ago, which already look horrendous due to low quality building materials/poor design, etc.

However, as of now, there are too few reasonably-priced, problem-free, renovated classic apartments in perfect buildings, so locals frequently take the easier option of buying one of the former. It happens all over CEE as far as I can see, but particularly in Bp. Despite having one of the highest proportion of neo-classical/secessionist properties of any city in Europe, most of them are unfortunately in terrible condition.
 
Budapest would you think a rooftop development to be better option IF bought at the right price of say 1100 or 1200 per meter in a good area.
Most are high quality finish, problem-free and in classic buildings also cleaned up to a good condition often with a new lift.
I think there is still money here for the investor long term.
 
Hopper, it would really depend where the development is, the design of the building, etc. Which project are you specifically interested in?
 
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