Brendan Burgess
Founder
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As there are many discussions on this topic, I have started a thread to compile them all.
Proposals which are unrealistic
As the taxpayer will be the majority owner in AIB, BoI, PTSB and EBS, it is clear that any cost to the banks in dealing with struggling borrowers will be paid by the taxpayer. So if one says “the banks should…”, one is really saying “the taxpayer should…”
If the taxpayer has to spend money, then it must allocate it very carefully to those with the greatest need.
There is no point in debt forgiveness while allowing the person to retain ownership of their home
It has been suggested that where a borrower can’t afford a mortgage of €300k on a property worth €200k, the bank should simply write off the difference. The argument seems to be, that if the borrower can afford the repayments on a €200k mortgage, they are more likely to make them They will give up the ghost completely on a €300k mortgage.
This makes no sense at all for the bank or the taxpayer. In time, the house might increase in value and all the gain would accrue to the house owner and none to the bank/taxpayer. If the borrower’s earnings increase, they will have no obligation to pay off the part of the debt which was written off at the expense of the taxpayer.
The current Deferred Interest Scheme allows a borrower who can pay 66% of the interest to stay in the house for up to 5 years. After that, the banks will probably be flexible anyway. Many of these borrowers will self-cure through increased earnings or through the increase in value of their home.
If at some stage, the mortgage becomes unsustainable, the house can be sold and the shortfall dealt with at that stage.
Debt for equity schemes and similar schemes make no sense either
Many people propose these, but no one has given an example of how they work. Because they can’t work. You can only swap debt for equity where there is equity, i.e. where the house is worth more than the loan. These schemes exist in the UK, but to participate, the loan must be no more than 75% of the value of the home. They are not a solution in Ireland where the loans are typically 200% of the value of the home.
For example, take a home where the mortgage is €300k and the house is worth €200k. It has been suggested that the bank would reduce the loan by €100k and take €100k of the value of the house. This is not debt for equity. This is part sale of the house. The borrower would end up with a loan of €200k on half a house which is worth €100k. So their negative equity is still €100k. However, it is worse in that their loan to value has increased from 150% to 200%. The bank now owns half the house, so they would charge rent on it. So the overall borrower’s repayments wouldn’t change either.
There have been vague suggestions of “gain sharing”. The lender would reduce the loan by €50,000 but would take half of any increase in value of the home when it is sold. Again, when you work through these figures, they make no sense.
Can the banks repossess the house and rent it back to the former owner or the local authority?
Again, this makes very little sense. Banks are simply not in the business of being landlords. If the state wants to buy the repossessed homes and rent them back, that is a matter of social policy. But it would be allowing the repossessed home owner to skip the housing waiting list queue which would be very unfair to those already on the list. As it happens, the state doesn’t have the money to buy repossessed houses anyway.
The banks should write down negative equity
Negative equity is only a problem if the person has to move.
Proposals which are unrealistic
As the taxpayer will be the majority owner in AIB, BoI, PTSB and EBS, it is clear that any cost to the banks in dealing with struggling borrowers will be paid by the taxpayer. So if one says “the banks should…”, one is really saying “the taxpayer should…”
If the taxpayer has to spend money, then it must allocate it very carefully to those with the greatest need.
There is no point in debt forgiveness while allowing the person to retain ownership of their home
It has been suggested that where a borrower can’t afford a mortgage of €300k on a property worth €200k, the bank should simply write off the difference. The argument seems to be, that if the borrower can afford the repayments on a €200k mortgage, they are more likely to make them They will give up the ghost completely on a €300k mortgage.
This makes no sense at all for the bank or the taxpayer. In time, the house might increase in value and all the gain would accrue to the house owner and none to the bank/taxpayer. If the borrower’s earnings increase, they will have no obligation to pay off the part of the debt which was written off at the expense of the taxpayer.
The current Deferred Interest Scheme allows a borrower who can pay 66% of the interest to stay in the house for up to 5 years. After that, the banks will probably be flexible anyway. Many of these borrowers will self-cure through increased earnings or through the increase in value of their home.
If at some stage, the mortgage becomes unsustainable, the house can be sold and the shortfall dealt with at that stage.
Debt for equity schemes and similar schemes make no sense either
Many people propose these, but no one has given an example of how they work. Because they can’t work. You can only swap debt for equity where there is equity, i.e. where the house is worth more than the loan. These schemes exist in the UK, but to participate, the loan must be no more than 75% of the value of the home. They are not a solution in Ireland where the loans are typically 200% of the value of the home.
For example, take a home where the mortgage is €300k and the house is worth €200k. It has been suggested that the bank would reduce the loan by €100k and take €100k of the value of the house. This is not debt for equity. This is part sale of the house. The borrower would end up with a loan of €200k on half a house which is worth €100k. So their negative equity is still €100k. However, it is worse in that their loan to value has increased from 150% to 200%. The bank now owns half the house, so they would charge rent on it. So the overall borrower’s repayments wouldn’t change either.
There have been vague suggestions of “gain sharing”. The lender would reduce the loan by €50,000 but would take half of any increase in value of the home when it is sold. Again, when you work through these figures, they make no sense.
Can the banks repossess the house and rent it back to the former owner or the local authority?
Again, this makes very little sense. Banks are simply not in the business of being landlords. If the state wants to buy the repossessed homes and rent them back, that is a matter of social policy. But it would be allowing the repossessed home owner to skip the housing waiting list queue which would be very unfair to those already on the list. As it happens, the state doesn’t have the money to buy repossessed houses anyway.
The banks should write down negative equity
Negative equity is only a problem if the person has to move.