Indeed, it doesn't take genius to "predict" what happened in the past. It's especially handy that even if the past behaviour is somewhat inexplicable, you can fall back on conspiracy theories. You are guaranteed to never be wrong.
Look at last weeks lottery numbers: 2, 4, 5, 27, 40 and 47. It doesnt take a genius to know that the 10-25 number block would be underrepresented given it dominated previous drawings. Also, it's obvious that the numbers would eventually hit a 50-50 equilibrium between odd and even numbers after weeks of skewed results. And the lack of a jackpot winner just continued the pattern of the last few months so no surprises there.
Just because plenty of people "analyse" financial markets in this way, doesn't mean such analysis is anything but hot air. The skill is picking the winning horse before the race not the day after while reading the sports section of the newspaper. You seem to have convinced yourself that you have developed insight into market movements. Test yourself by committing now in writing where you think the main equity and commodity indices will be in, say, 3 months time. It's a lot harder, isn't it?
But anyway, this is exactly the sort of discussion that causes these threads to become derailed and useless. Using hindsight provides nothing useful to a discussion about buying equities now. Since Thargor first posted, the Vanguard global equity ETF is up almost 5%; in that time we've had brexit, a major escalation of terrorist attacks in the west, military coup in Turkey, etc. etc. It's all just noise.
